Why Stellar Lumens Turning More Bullish Than Bitcoin

BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar
Hi friend hope you are well today we will try to understand by the Stellar is turning more bullish than Bitcoin as the XLM has recovered more than BTC . If we take a look at the daily chart of XLM then it can be easily observed that after the drop from Feb to March 2020 the price action moved 196% from the lowest to highest price level. On the other side if we watch the Bitcoin daily chart then after this drop we can notice that the priceline of BTC rallied 161% from the lowest to highest price level.

XLM is more bullish even on small time period chart:
Now if we switch to the small time period hourly chart then we can see that after the recent drop the Stellar has recovered 13% but on the other hand the Bitcoin has recovered 9%. Moreover after this 9% recovery the Bitcoin price action is dropping down again. As we have the second bearish appeared on this small time period chart.

The basic reason of Stellar to turn more bullish is this pattern:
The main and the basic reason behind this difference of bullish move between XLM and Bitcoin are the patterns that are formed on the long-term charts by the both cryptocurrencies.

First we will take a look at the price action of Lumens. Here I would like to recall the patterns that I have published in my previous articles of Stellar , that it has formed very big bullish BAT pattern on monthly chart. If we move back in 2017 we can observe that same as like this pattern a big bullish BAT was formed on the weekly chart. And from the potential reversal zone of previous BAT the priceline of XLM took a very powerful bullish divergence and produced more than 4000% gains. Now if we watch the current pattern that has been formed on the monthly chart by the Settal is more bigger than the previous pattern that was formed back in 2017.Therefore we can expect more powerful rally than the previous move. However as per Fibonacci sequence the realistic targets can be 0.382 to 0.786 Fibonacci projection of A to D leg of this bullish BAT pattern. And the targets are from $0.23 to $0.41 this is also very massive profit as these targets shows up to 600% profit possibility.
If we take more closer look on the price action then it can be easily observed that even after the recent recovery rally of more than 196% the price action is still moving at the bottom of the potential reversal zone or buying zone of this bullish BAT . Therefore the Stellar has more capacity to move up in order to reach the sell targets or the Fibonacci projection area of this pattern.

The big bullish pattern of Bitcoin:
On the other hand we can see that on the same monthly chart the Bitcoin has formed very big bullish harmonic Gartley pattern . And after this recovery rally the Bitcoin has entered in the sell zone or the Fibonacci projection of this pattern. Therefore there are more chances that the Bitcoin may start a correction rally or it may move sideways at this level.

The similar channels:
Now I would like to take you again on daily chart where the XLM and Bitcoin both have formed similar up channels. First we will take a look at the up channel that has been formed by the price action of Stellar . Then we can see that the price action has reached at the support of the channel and at this time we have a very weak bullish candlestick appeared that is indicating that the bears are losing control and the price action might move up from here. But on the other side if we see the Bitcoin’s channel then after hitting at the resistance of the channel the price action is moving down and so far it is not reached at the support. Therefore there is more space for the price action of Bitcoin to drop more down. And there are chances that the Bitcoin will drop more down to reach at the support. And in the meanwhile the XLM would move sideways with the support of the channel and we can see that as it is an up channel so if the price action will move with the support then it will be automatically moved up with the upward movement of support.

The XLM can move sideways at this level as it has already reached at the support of the channel. On the other side the Bitcoin can drop more to reach at the support of the channel. On the long term the Stellar can be more bullish than Bitcoin as the harmonic pattern of the XLM is bigger than the harmonic pattern of the Bitcoin that has been formed on the monthly chart.

Note: This idea is education purpose only and not intended to be investment advice, please seek a duly licensed professional and do you own research before any investment.

Related Ideas


XLM had been very bullish after the coronavirus crash. More recently Stellar made a huge move about a week before the halving, and was in consolidation when the big shakeout happened over the weekend. After that it was instantly done with consolidation and ready to pump.

This is also true for Kyber Network (KNC), which seem to correlate to Stellar.
+1 Reply
moon333 Hazel-Ra-Owsla
@Hazel-Ra-Owsla, thanks for ur deep analysis its really useful
I have been holding xlm since November last year. Hope this waiting pays me back someday
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