BITCOIN puts the conditions of previous market bottoms to test

Bitcoin is yet again approaching the Resistance under which it's been trading since January 05. Practically the whole year so far has been a consolidation within a Triangle pattern, which technically resembles accumulation phases of the past. More specifically, those accumulation phases are seen in market bottom structures and in this analysis I quickly present the two most recent: the March/ April 2020 (following the COVID meltdown) and the December 2018 - March 2019 (following the bottom of the 2018 Bear Cycle).

As you see, the similarities between the three are so far remarkable. All three Triangles show an ascending 1D RSI reading. The 2020 and 2019 ones both formed a 1D Golden Cross, after the price broke above the Triangle's Resistance and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Before doing the Resistance break-out, the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) had turned into a Support.

Right now, the 2022 sequence, is very close to its Triangle's Resistance and the 1D MA50 has turned into a Support for the past 10 days. The 1D MA50 and MA200 are again converging and this may be an early sign that the Golden Cross will be formed within 3 - 4 weeks, which as per the previous bottom fractals, will be well above the Triangle. As a result, breaking the Resistance is the ultimate market bottom buy signal.

Do you think that if it breaks, while the 1D MA50 is supporting, we'll have already priced the new market bottom? Feel free to share your work and let me know in the comments section below!


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