DrDovetail

1 day double top vs. 1 day falling wedge

COINBASE:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
The current battle playing out seems to be between the support of the falling wedge's top trendline(in purple) and the resistance of the double top's neckline(yellow horizontal). If we somehow were able to close the 1 day candle above this neckline that would be a good sign for the bulls. We would still need breakout confirmation from the wedge first of course, but if a wedge breakout were to trigger here the breakout target would be 11.5k. I think instead a breakout fakeout here is slightly more probable but will remain neutral until I see it react one way or the other. For now, I have the projected breakout occurring instead where the next horizontal support line down around 8.5k intersects with the top trendline of the wedge. We will see if my assumption is accurate but currently we have potential to rigger the breakout from our current zone. Wee can also see the 3 day golden cross trajectory has been moved up to the 1st of August. I think this cross will be sustained and eventually lead to an 87% increase in price but think there's a chance price action could fall down to those moving averages right before or during the initial cross to scare people and accumulate short fuel first. We could also just shoot upward without doing that at all but if I see a red candle the day of the cross I will neither be worried or surprised. May be a slow climb at first in August but I have a feeling come september/october we will be full on bull mode again. Just a gu instinct and as always not financial advice.
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