At the time of writing, BTC trades at $38,800 following a minor rejection from the immediate hurdle, the 200 . The bid for $40,000 continues to challenge the bulls even as bears increase their entries. On the downside, the immediate support at $38,000 is key to resuming the journey toward the short-term goal.
Bitcoin's uptrend seems intact
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence ( ) emphasizes that bulls have the upper hand based on the four-hour timeframe. This indicator follows the trend of an asset while measuring its momentum. Although the does not identify overbought and oversold conditions of the market, it helps pinpoint the positions to buy the dip or sell the top.
Meanwhile, the on Bitcoin's chart shows that buyers have more influence. For instance, since the drop to $31,000, the indicator has made it to the positive region. Additionally, the line (blue) sustains the divergence above the signal line; thus, the least resistance path is upward.
As mentioned, support at $38,000 remains key to sustaining the uptrend. However, the resistance at the 200 must come down to allow Bitcoin to move closer to $40,000. A break above $40,000 would be a significant milestone in light of the recent frequent retracements and may trigger immense buy orders, bolstering the price higher.
However, if the support at $38,000 gives in, we can expect BTC to drop to $36,000, a buyer congestion highlighted by the 50 and the 100 .
Bitcoin intraday levels
Spot rate: $38,830
Trend: Short-term biased
Resistance: The 200 and $40,000
Support: $38,000 and $36,000