BITCOIN Below the 4H MA50. Where does it go from here?

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has broken 3 days ago below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 2 weeks and so far remains under it, unable to regain the bullish momentum of the first half of February. But how bad can that be? Does it jeopardize the long-term bullish trend?

For now not. Even though the February 15 High was technically a rejection on the Higher Highs trend-line that started on December 05 2023, the medium-term pattern remains a 1-month Channel Up. That pattern is similar to the Channel Up from October 13 2023 to December 17 2023, which broke sideways after a 1D candle closing below the 4H MA100 (green trend-line). The 4H MA100 is currently at 49656, with additional support levels Support 1 (48400) and the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level (47800), which provided the necessary support on the December 11 2023 Low.

As a result, we have a strong candidate zone as the new Support Base that can technically extend the bullish trend of the Channel Up. The short-term target is the Higher Highs trend-line at 55000 and if we get a 1D candle closing above it, Channel Up extension to its top at 60000.

Note that the 4H RSI offers a very strong buy signal on its 30.00 oversold barrier. Every time it was hit in the last several months, the price rebounded (even in the cases January 13, 14 and 18, when it was just short-term rebounds).

But what do you think? Will BTC provide a bullish extension on the current Channel Up? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!


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