BlueHatInvestor

Crude Oil Futures ~ November TA Outlook (4H Intraday)

Short
BlueHatInvestor Updated   
NYMEX_DL:CL1!   Light Crude Oil Futures
CL1! chart mapping/analysis.

Note: TradingView chart B-ADJ adjusted for contract changes

Crude Oil Futures capitulating from early October rally despite ongoing Middle East tensions & geopolitical uncertainty.

Only macroeconomic narrative/headwind that would override war escalations is increasing probability of global recession-induced demand destruction, IMO.

Notes:
  • Flat bottom pattern development = bias towards bearish price action, TBC.
  • Crude Oil = highly manipulated trade with ongoing short-risk from Saudi Arabia &/or Russian market intervention - trade at your own risk to capital.

Comment:
Flat bottom break confirmed, however no re-test of support from underneath (atleast on 4H timeframe).

Agressive dump into ~75.65 horizontal line (yellow dashed) could infer an equally aggressive pump back above support, especially with OPEC+ market intervention.

Lower timeframe analysis will reveal structuring for the pump, or another capitulation to tap lower range of ascending parallel channel (green line) + 23.6% Fib confluence zone, TBC.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.