The DOW is the leader right now...and the saying "Don't fight the Fed" is still very much applicable. There is no pivot, inflationary pressures still exist and the 2022 moves in the US 10 year should not be taken lightly.
If you read over my last post (Nov 15th) you know we are following a path similar to the Dot com bust bear market except this time it will be labeled as the Bond bust.
DJI (DOW) continues to follow the 2000-2002 path of SMA's flattening out over time while SPX, RUT & NDX lag behind DJI. Obviously, no two bear markets are exactly the same but they can follow similar patterns.
In the 2000-2002 bear market you can see the 2 year battle between the bulls/bears wore them both out; just like we have seen over the past year. The 9 SMA or Tenkan Sen has crossed below the 15 & 30 SMA's just like they did during the dot com bust...we then proceeded to re-test the ATH after the crossing of these SMA's before more rejection. I warned in my last post the DJI would probably reach the 35,000 "ish" range and I still believe we will hit this area...I mean Santa is coming to town right? The areas of resistance for DJI are now 35,492.22; 35,824.28 & 36,952.65...I will begin to ladder into the sell side when we get above 35,000.
US 10 Year on a 6 month timeframe-This chart should scare the you know what out of any company or person with revolving credit! The continued hiking of interest rates is not "transitory".
Commodity Index-Inflationary pressures still exist in case you thought we've reached "peak inflation"....the weekly is one scary looking bull flag. Just takes another "event" and watch out.
If you read over my last post (Nov 15th) you know we are following a path similar to the Dot com bust bear market except this time it will be labeled as the Bond bust.
DJI (DOW) continues to follow the 2000-2002 path of SMA's flattening out over time while SPX, RUT & NDX lag behind DJI. Obviously, no two bear markets are exactly the same but they can follow similar patterns.
In the 2000-2002 bear market you can see the 2 year battle between the bulls/bears wore them both out; just like we have seen over the past year. The 9 SMA or Tenkan Sen has crossed below the 15 & 30 SMA's just like they did during the dot com bust...we then proceeded to re-test the ATH after the crossing of these SMA's before more rejection. I warned in my last post the DJI would probably reach the 35,000 "ish" range and I still believe we will hit this area...I mean Santa is coming to town right? The areas of resistance for DJI are now 35,492.22; 35,824.28 & 36,952.65...I will begin to ladder into the sell side when we get above 35,000.
US 10 Year on a 6 month timeframe-This chart should scare the you know what out of any company or person with revolving credit! The continued hiking of interest rates is not "transitory".
Commodity Index-Inflationary pressures still exist in case you thought we've reached "peak inflation"....the weekly is one scary looking bull flag. Just takes another "event" and watch out.