DOTUSD Can't stop this death spiral unless the 1D MA200 breaks.

Polkadot (DOTUSD) has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the November 08 2021 High. Our previous DOT analysis was on July 16, which hit its target with the help of that pattern:


In early November the price broke above it marginally but as it failed to cross the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), the 1D RSI formed a top (red circle) and caused the price to drop. As you see, this pattern is consistent with both previous Lower Highs, a 1D RSI on these levels forms a top and causes the price to drop aggressively.

This 'Death spiral' can only stop with a break above the 1D MA200, which is the Resistance since January 05. Until then, we can expect DOT to make a new Lower Low either on the 0.786 Fib around 5.00 or even lower on the 0.618 Fib (4.50 - 4.00) before the end of the year.



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