ChartArt

Cycle periods when to make money on the US stock market

INDEX:DOWI   DOW Industrials
1033 24 5
Summary: Buy stocks in the year 2020-2022 with sell target 25000 in the year 2026

The trend trajectory for the DOW Industrial index is starting to get very bearish in the year 2017 at the latest. A time when Donald Trump might have become the next US president, which would strongly influence the world history.

After a sharp three year decline of the stock market from the highs of the year 2015-2016 a bottom for the large downtrend of the year 2017 might be near during or shortly after the year "2020". Two years later a very strong new rally could start in the year 2022 when the "DOW" could move back above 19000 points. This rally could last at least until the year 2026 where 25000 points could be reached on the "DOWI".

Worth reading:
The 56 Year Benner Cycle, "Periods when to make money" illustration by George Tritcht (1897)
http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2010/08/the-56-year-benner-cycle/
"http://www.davidmcminn.com/pages/brenfib.htm"
http://visualoop.com/blog/6694/vintage-infodesign-16

"The 2021 major bottom cycle would be correspondent to the 1949 major low before the big bull move until the 1960's." - The Benner-Fibonacci Cycle Model
http://jogarembolsa.blogspot.com/2009/09/1920s-dow-versus-2000s-nasdaq.html

Economic Confidence Model (ECM)
http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/models/7219-2

P.S. I hope Tradingview exists for so long that we can follow the accuracy of this chart over the next decade :)

P.P.S . As of publishing this chart the DOWI             is below 16400 points (at 16398). If the chart gets messed up, here is a screenshot:
snapshot
In my comments here I mentioned the 17-year cycle (there are two different versions by Eric Hadik and Kerry Balenthiran). Interestingly there is also research into a 18-year real estate cycle, which is due to peak and pop since around the year 2016 (+/-)

http://time-price-research-astrofin.blogspot.com/2017/02/the-skyscraper-indicator-1790-2015.html

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Astro-finance also points to a major stock market decline around 2019-2025:

"A scientific paper by Charles J. Collins points out one simple correlation of solar-stock market movements that will, fortunately, come to another test within the two or three years ahead "

http://time-price-research-astrofin.blogspot.com/2017/02/the-effect-of-sunspot-activity-on-stock.html
http://time-price-research-astrofin.blogspot.com/2017/02/the-sunspot-cycle-and-stocks-robert-r.html

"Statistically speaking, the current sunspot Cycle 24 is scheduled to draw to a close sometime in 2019."

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/dr-sten-odenwald/waiting-for-the-next-suns_b_11812282.html
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I discovered another cycle which points to a major decline in either 2018 or 2019, but not in the year 2017:

Quote:

"The four-year Presidential cycle has been used for quite a long time in anticipating major market lows. Since the year 1938 it has worked quite well. The cycle suggests a significant stock market low occurs in the second year of every President’s term (...) A new President just entered the White House in 2017. With the market at all-time highs, and a significant low having just occurred in 2016, it is quite unlikely his first year will see another significant low. The most likely target year for a significant low would be next year, 2018, his second year in office. If a significant low does not occur next year either. Then a significant market top should occur in the year 2019, his third year in office.

https://caldaro.wordpress.com/2017/03/18/weekend-update-596/
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According to cycle research by Brad Gudgeon there is a 88-year human generation cycle and he is afraid that we repeat the mistakes of our great grand-parents in the near-future:

Quote:

"The 88-year great grandfather cycle has worked really well. The post WWI recession of 1920/21 adding 88 years equals 2008/09. According to the same cycle, we should be seeing a final top in late 2017, but my Elliott Wave work suggests it should come a year late (due to Central Bank manipulation, or the fact that we are living longer or both). That means we all have about 2 years to prepare for the worst crash since the Great Depression and then World War III." - Brad Gudgeon, November 6, 2016

http://blustarmarkettimer.blogspot.com/2016/11/countdown-e-wave-perspective.html
http://www.safehaven.com/article/43203/the-coming-crash-and-wwiii
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ChartArt ChartArt
@ChartArt, The 88-year cycle has a similar length to the 84-year cycle which Sandy Jadeja says he found in the US stock market:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DOWI/0f1XxdeH-Cycle-periods-when-to-make-money-on-the-US-stock-market/#tc568009
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ChartArt ChartArt
@ChartArt, I'm not into financial astrology, but there appears to also exist a 88.4-year astronomical cycle, as explained by LunaticTrader:

https://lunatictrader.com/2013/10/31/questioning-financial-astrology-part-2/
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ChartArt ChartArt
@ChartArt, Quote from LunaticTrader:

"Based on the earlier major peaks in 1835 and 1929, we would expect this blow-off peak to occur between 2012 and 2017, followed by a major low in 2020-2022.
As we have only two observed cycles it remains to be seen whether this pattern will show up. But if it does we would get some nice confirmation for this 88 year cycle."

again from:
https://lunatictrader.com/2013/10/31/questioning-financial-astrology-part-2/
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Sandy Jadeja has discovered a 84-year cycle in the US stock market and he is afraid of greater volatility until 2018:

"We are currently in a very dangerous time zone until 2018. This is an 84-year cycle and the previous cycle appeared during 1928 until 1934 where the Great Depression took place," Sandy Jadeja said. "We have a situation. This lasts until 2018 for this particular cycle. And my worry is that we could see sudden sharp declines take place and tripping investors if they are not prepared," he said.

http://www.safehaven.com/article/42404/lets-review-sandy-jadeja-84-year-cycle-forecast
http://www.businessinsider.com/sandy-jadeja-interview-technical-analysis-dow-jones-market-crash-forecasts-2016-6
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ChartArt ChartArt
@ChartArt, The 84-year cycle has a similar length to the 88-year cycle which Brad Gudgeon claims to see in the market:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DOWI/0f1XxdeH-Cycle-periods-when-to-make-money-on-the-US-stock-market/#tc568020
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According to research from Eric Hadik, there is a 17-year cycle in the stock market. He believes a peak could occur in the year 2017:

Visualization of Hadik's cycle theory:
http://i1.wp.com/17yearcycle.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/17YC-2017.jpg?w=615


Quote:

"I encountered a unique article/paper that explained an uncanny 17-year cycle that impacted the Earth’s magnetic swings, solar magnetic swings (and coronal hole variations), and the ‘toward and away’ magnetic relationship between the two (http://www.researchgate.net/publication/226464099 & http://link.springer.com/article/10.1023%2FA%3A1005075703810). It provided some explanation of why this uncanny 17-Year Cycle would precisely time so many dramatic swings in human aggressiveness (military, social, financial/speculative, etc.)."

Source:
http://17yearcycle.com/about/17-year-cycle/


For those interested in his theories, here are three PDF files in which he explains his ideas:
http://17yearcycle.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/17-Year-Cycle-Stocks-2014-2016.pdf
http://17yearcycle.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/17-Year-Cycle-Stocks-2014-2016-II.pdf
http://17yearcycle.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/17-Year-Cycle-Stocks-2014-2016-III.pdf



There is also another analyst Kerry Balenthiran who also sees a 17-year cycle in the stock market, although his conclusion is not a 17.0-year cycle, but a 17.6-year cycle:

http://www.17yearstockmarketcycle.com/
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