OlympusLab

DXY Potential Forecast | Post CPI | 13th April 2023

Short
TVC:DXY   U.S. Dollar Index
Fundamental Backdrop
1. CPI m/m printed 0.1% compared to forecasted at 0.2%
2. Fed hikes effects really slowing inflation down
3. USD fell shorting after, signifying the slowing down of inflation at a faster pace than what the market has been pricing in.

Technical Confluences
1. Price rejected off resistance at 102.8.
2. Price looks good to form a new higher timeframe low and continue its bearish trajectory.
3. There has not been a strong confluence for any longs on the DXY thus far.

Idea
We are looking for price to continue its bearish trajectory till 101.67 and the probability of it forming a new low is now high.






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