OlympusLab

DXY Weekly Forecast | 15th May 2023

Long
TVC:DXY   U.S. Dollar Index
Fundamental Backdrop
  • Core Retail Sales m/m expected to improve from -0.8% to 0.5%
  • Consumer spending will increase significantly, indicating improved economic activity
  • Unemployment Claims data could be better than expected due to positive CPI and PPI data released last week
  • Friday could be more volatile due to Fed Chair Powell's speech
  • Powell expected to address rising market concern about US debt ceiling

Technical Confluences
  • Near term resistance at 102.800
  • Next resistance at 103.500

Idea
With the DXY expected the strengthen in the short term, we could see price head towards the 103.500 level.




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