OlympusLab

DXY Potential Forecast | Pre NFP | 3rd April 2023

Short
TVC:DXY   U.S. Dollar Index
Fundamental Backdrop
1. Plenty of USD news happening along the week.
2. All eyes will be on NFP.
3. At Olympus, we are forecasting payrolls to print <250k compared to 311k previous.
4. There has been multiple economic data release on the USD, highlighting the slow down of its economy and inflation.
5. ISM manufacturing PMI releasing later on in the day and forecasted 47.4 compared to 47.7 previous.
6. Anticipating USD to have more softer prints which will incentive Fed to take on a more dovish approach.

Technical Confluences
1. H4 support at 101.67.
2. Price could potentially come lower to the support at 101.67.
3. Price currently hovering at the H4 resistance at 1102.899 and is rejecting it.
4. Anticipating further downside momentum on DXY.

Idea
Anticipating bearish price action on DXY for the week and for price to potentially break the H4 support at 101.6.





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