OlympusLab

DXY Forecast | Pre Fed Chair Powell Speaks | 19th May 2023

TVC:DXY   U.S. Dollar Index
Fundamental Backdrop
  • Unemployment Claims decreased from 264K to 242k, far better than the forecast of 253K. This signals an overall healthier economy.
  • Fed Chair Powell will be speaking later on today on the concerns around the status of the US debt ceiling.

Technical Confluences
  • Near-term resistance at 103.500
  • Next resistance at 105.000
  • Minor support at 102.765

Idea
If Fed Chair Powell's speech is hawkish, we could see DXY break the near-term resistance at 103.500, before heading towards the next resistance at 105.000.
Alternatively, if the speech is dovish, we could see price head back down towards the minor support at 102.765






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