CriptoJoe

Capitulations or fakeouts are good signals

Long
NASDAQ:ENPH   Enphase Energy, Inc.
This is a long fakeout in the chart of $ENPH. We look at this fakeout after it brakes a trendline and you don't find continuation to the downside after retesting the break.

After this, the fakeouts market liquidates many MANY sell positions and call options that they do 2 things:
  • Scare the sellers with bad loses
  • Add tons of liquidity or volume around these prices.

Plus, the MACD gives a delayed, but great signal to ATH. And the fundamentals are looking great:
www.etoro.com/markets/enph/research

So, I can do 2 things, go for different mini trades in the 4 hours allocating 0.5% to 1.5% of my portfolio and leveraging those either X2 or X5. Or I can go the low-risk option and add a larger allocation, up to 5%, and just let it be there.
1) Short-term trading (swing trades) with low leverage:
The Pros of this strat are having more capital to open other trades like BTC (which is moving now) or just having cash for hedge purposes.
The Cons is the risky trades as I can lose that capital easier in this way as the short-term trades are usually fewer probability trades.

2) Long-term position with higher allocation.
On the contrary, a long-term position is a higher probability trade, not a time-consuming (a simple SL and TP order would do) position, but it allocates a large amount of capital.

I'll try to do half and half this time.

Let me know what you think about this

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