spytradingpro

12/5 Trading Plan - Tuesday Recap and Day Ahead

CME_MINI:ES1!   S&P 500 E-mini Futures
๐Ÿ“Š Market Sentiment: Neutral

We remain in consolidation, holding between 4550-55 support and 4575-80 resistance.

๐Ÿ”„ Recap

After rallying 460 points from October 27th to November 22nd, ES has been stuck in consolidation for two weeks. The market has been largely stuck between 4550-55 support, and 4575-80 resistance, making the round trip countless times.

๐Ÿ“ˆ The Markets Overnight

๐ŸŒ Asia: Up
๐ŸŒ Europe: Up
๐ŸŒŽ US Index Futures: Up
๐Ÿ›ข Crude Oil: Down
๐Ÿ’ต Dollar: Up slightly
๐Ÿง Yields: Down
๐Ÿ”ฎ Crypto: Near unchanged

๐ŸŒ Major Global Catalysts

CEOs from the eight largest US banks will testify before the Senate Banking Committee today, voicing their opposition to a rule that would increase capital requirements by 20%-25%.

๐Ÿ” Key Structures

  • 4755: A far off target for those with a big picture view
  • 4680: A re-test of the August highs
  • 4658: Important resistance on June 20th and July 25th 2023
  • 4640: A key zone
  • 4618: Green-dotted line in the chart
  • 4573 (with 4580 just a little above): A 2 week resistance cluster
  • 4556: A key zone, tested 25+ times in the last week
  • 4542: A multi-month level, it's been support since Nov 20th
  • 4520: A key zone from Nov 15th-20th
  • 4497: Important channel resistance dating way back to December 2022s and February 2023s highs
  • 4450: Immediate backtest point of the line we lifted off after CPI on Tuesday November 14th
  • 4430: The rising bull market trendline connecting the October 2022 and March 2023 lows

๐Ÿ“‰ Support Levels

4563, 4556, 4548, 4542, 4540, 4531, 4520, 4513, 4507, 4497, 4484, 4470, 4462, 4450, 4444, 4436, 4430, 4424, 4418, 4413, 4408

๐Ÿ“ˆ Resistance Levels

4573, 4580, 4587, 4590, 4600, 4609, 4618, 4622, 4633, 4640, 4646, 4658, 4666, 4675, 4680, 4693, 4702, 4710, 4720, 4724, 4729, 4737, 4746, 4755

๐Ÿ“ Trading Plan

Bullish Scenario: The plan is to remain long as long as 4556 keeps holding.
Bearish Scenario: If 4542 fails, we should see a short-term bearish trend takeover.

๐Ÿ’ก Wrap Up

The market remains in consolidation, with a bullish structure. The focus is on trading the consolidations, with optionality to be exposed during the trend. The plan is to remain long as long as 4556 keeps holding, with a focus on failed breakouts/breakdowns.

Disclosure: This is not financial advice and is for informational purposes only. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decision.

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