Bitcoin Will Lose it's Dominance Next Year To Several Cryptos

BITFINEX:ETHBTC   Ethereum / Bitcoin

Bitcoin cannot currently scale. The Bitcoin blocks are going to be full again very soon. This will lead to skyrocketing transaction fees, slow transactions, failed transactions, and people choosing to use other networks to transfer and store value, because there are other networks that are more scalable, faster, cheaper, and have more features. Most cryptocurrencies are technically superior to Bitcoin . Bitcoin has failed to innovate because of it's hyper-conservative community and development team. This will lead BTC going the way of companies like Myspace and AOL. Bitcoin will always exist, but it's going to lose it's first mover advantage and grow much slower than most other top cryptocurrencies that are more innovative.

ETH also suffers from some of the same problems as BTC , though even with this, it will still likely perform better than BTC to the extent that it is eventually bigger in market capitalization than BTC . BTC and ETH have the advantage of having the most liquid orderbooks, and highest daily volumes, and largest market capitalizations, and are the most well-known. However, all of these factors can very quickly and very easily change. The scaling problem has no quick and easy solution on the horizon, and ETH suffers from practically the same scalability problems as BTC . While ETH will most likely perform better than BTC because it's not nearly as close to capacity as BTC , and has more features, it will probably still perform worse than many other cryptocurrencies that are even faster, cheaper, and more scalable.

Eventually, the volume is going to move to the cryptos that are technically superior , once more people start to realize that BTC and ETH aren't scaling at the rate of adoption.

There are solutions are the horizon, like lightning network and sharding, however they are not ready to scale with the needs of the market at this very moment, and that is likely going to lead to people decentralizing around faster and cheaper blockchains over the next few months, while development of ETH and BTC lags behind adoption. Leading to several cryptocurrencies being larger than both BTC and ETH.

The reason why I am posting this on the ETHBTC chart is because there is a perfect bullish bat harmonic (log scale), and several other indications that signal there being a bottom here, and BTC ratios usually bottom out around the same time as USD price. However, I do not trade this pair, and have no plans on trading it because I think there will be far more profitable cryptos to invest in than ETH and BTC . I think by next year neither ETH nor BTC will be the largest crypto by market capitalization, but they will still be top cryptocurrencies and be much more expensive than they are now, and, ETH will probably be bigger than BTC in market cap.


Here's a similar "perfect" harmonic pattern that appeared on ETHBTC in 2017, right before the huge bull-run.


What do you think about BTC going into a longer correction wave pattern that will take longer to play out than XRP's correction pattern? People love to hate on XRP but the stars might be aligning to let it become the big boy in town.
Intuit lemonsandshade
@lemonsandshade, I really really doubt that would happen. The trends are highly correlated between most cryptos, though XRP will probably continue to see larger percentage swings than BTC, and eventually should over take it in market cap.
@Intuit, True that is a good point. I understand the correlation, but with an EW perspective BTC could be in a Major wave 2 which could take many months/years to settle whereas XRP hasn't completed a Major Wave 1 yet...
Intuit lemonsandshade
@lemonsandshade, From an EW perspective, they are both in zigzags that began in january, and will likely end in april. In a longer-term view, they're both in a large diametric. The only difference is at what point they may be in the diametric, XRP could be in wave-d, or it could actually be in wave-f, like BTC. No way to really know for the next few years. Either way, it makes little difference and the trends should remain highly correlated, as they have for several years.
+1 Reply
The next hype will be in 2019. At the end of the rally 1 ETH will be worth 0,5 BTC
Intuit WBM_Team
@WBM_Team, Your EW count is extremely flawed, but I agree with the general idea of your chart (ie. ETHBTC >0.17, next year) 0.5BTC seems like a decent possibility.
+1 Reply
First paragraph is pure FUD. Doesn't seem like you understand the technology behind BTC at all. Just echoing all the same tired criticisms from the crowd.

There's a reason BTC has remained #1 through the influx of shitcoins.

This ain't it chief.
How did you measure it on log chart
I m trying to draw like you but I can not do it.
If you can explain it I ll be happy mate.
For excample How can you find %61.8 -C point.
Best Regards...
Intuit saitarslan
@saitarslan, Using a log chart and a screen ruler and a calculator. Measure the distance from the beginning to end of the wave and then multiply that by 0.618.
+1 Reply
How often have I read the obituary for BTC, and still it stayed #1 of all the cryptos. I am not discussing, however, that BTC will eventually be replaced by better cryptos, but I doubt that it will be next year
+1 Reply
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