ETHBTC About to take off. Ethereum expected to gain massively.

It has been more than 5 months (October 07 2023, see chart below) since we last published our view on the ETHBTC pair, when we discussed that the 2022/ 2023 Channel Down was a matter of time to reverse as soon as it would hit the Higher Lows trend-line of 2019:


As you can see, the pair started to trend upwards after touching the Higher Lows trend-line on the week of December 18 2023, posting a series of Higher Highs and Higher Lows. The fact that the 1W RSI became oversold below 30.00 and then started trending upwards on Higher Lows, is a clear sign that the pair bottomed, similar to the bottom of September 02 2019.

What followed then was a break above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and then a sustainable series of Higher Highs and Higher Lows until the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) broke also and turned parabolic.

For now we have had 2 rejections on the 1W MA50, so in our view that is the confirmation signal. As soon as the price breaks above it, we expect ETHBTC to first target the bottom of the 3-year Resistance Zone at 0.08300 and then conclude the Bull Cycle marginally above the 1.5 Fibonacci level, but we will maintain Target 2 there at 0.1200.

Bottom line: Ethereum is expected to gain massively against Bitcoin over the next 12 months.


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