Uncertain EURUSD, but These Levels are likely Important
Uncertain EURUSD, but These Levels are likely Important
Dear Esteemed Members,
I know when I say the EUR can go up or down, doesn't seem to be useful, but I believe the outcome depends on resistance or support break and fundamental factors.
As per the latest technical analysis updates, it is widely agreed that the EUR/USD exchange rate is currently experiencing a downtrend. Examination of the four-hour chart reveals that the pair remains below both the 50- and 100-hour exponential moving averages in a downward trajectory. The relative strength index (RSI) is also bearish, dipping below 40, reinforcing the prevailing bearish sentiment. Immediate support is identified at the 1.0920 level (200-hour exponential moving average), followed by the 1.0880 level (lower boundary of the rising regression trend channel) and the 1.0850 level (Fibonacci retracement of the latest rise).
Conversely, potential resistance levels for the EUR/USD are at the 1.0970 level (100-hour exponential moving average), the psychological and static level at 1.1000, and the 1.1050 level (midpoint of the rising channel).
In addition to technical factors, fundamental influences shape the EUR/USD exchange rate in the coming days. Attention focuses on the upcoming United States December labor market report, encompassing non-farm payroll (NFP) changes, average hourly earnings growth, and the unemployment rate. Market expectations project a 170,000 increase in NFP, a decrease from the 199,000 recorded in November. A higher-than-expected NFP could bolster the US dollar, exerting downward pressure on the EUR/USD exchange rate. Conversely, a lower-than-expected NFP may weaken the US dollar and elevate the EUR/USD exchange rate.
Kind Regards,
Ely
Dear Esteemed Members,
I know when I say the EUR can go up or down, doesn't seem to be useful, but I believe the outcome depends on resistance or support break and fundamental factors.
As per the latest technical analysis updates, it is widely agreed that the EUR/USD exchange rate is currently experiencing a downtrend. Examination of the four-hour chart reveals that the pair remains below both the 50- and 100-hour exponential moving averages in a downward trajectory. The relative strength index (RSI) is also bearish, dipping below 40, reinforcing the prevailing bearish sentiment. Immediate support is identified at the 1.0920 level (200-hour exponential moving average), followed by the 1.0880 level (lower boundary of the rising regression trend channel) and the 1.0850 level (Fibonacci retracement of the latest rise).
Conversely, potential resistance levels for the EUR/USD are at the 1.0970 level (100-hour exponential moving average), the psychological and static level at 1.1000, and the 1.1050 level (midpoint of the rising channel).
In addition to technical factors, fundamental influences shape the EUR/USD exchange rate in the coming days. Attention focuses on the upcoming United States December labor market report, encompassing non-farm payroll (NFP) changes, average hourly earnings growth, and the unemployment rate. Market expectations project a 170,000 increase in NFP, a decrease from the 199,000 recorded in November. A higher-than-expected NFP could bolster the US dollar, exerting downward pressure on the EUR/USD exchange rate. Conversely, a lower-than-expected NFP may weaken the US dollar and elevate the EUR/USD exchange rate.
Kind Regards,
Ely
Comment:
I didn't want to take a position in this analytics because my more experienced friends were uncertain themselves, but daily price action seemed to take the bullish route. The resistance around the price of the analytics is broken at least.
Comment:
I haven't released new analytics yet despite the price's violating the resistance because I'm still uncertain where EUR will go. I merely mentioned bulls have the upper hand now but with only a slight edge. The market's at a balance where any news can swiftly change the trend. But everyone knows sideways trends exist. I don't want to talk any biased bullishness or bearishness into it. I'm waiting for more information to decide.