EURUSD Channel Down looking for a Lower Low.

The EURUSD pair gave us last week (May 17, see chart below), the ideal Lower High sell entry, as the price got rejected exactly where we wanted it to at the top of the 5-month Channel Down:


We now view this price action from the 1D time-frame where the 1D MACD is about to form a Bearish Cross. Every time in the past 6 months this was formed above the 0.00 level, it was a confirmation that the pair would go after at least a -2.35% decline.

This is perfectly aligned with Target 2 (1.06550) on Support 2. Target 1 (1.07300) is just above Support 1, both of which are estimated in accordance to the March Bearish Leg, which also hit its Support 1 and 2 before a rebound.

It has to be noted also that while Target 2 represents a -2.35% decline, it would also make contact with the 1W MA100 (red trend-line), which is practically our long-term Support, having held and caused rebounds both on the April 16 2024 Low and before that on the November 10 2023 Low.

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