Veejahbee

GBPNZD SET A STAGE FOR A MAJOR SELL-OFF

Short
FX:GBPNZD   British Pound / New Zealand Dollar
The weekly chart above puts GBPNZD's entire decline since August 2015 in an Elliott Wave context. As visible, the currency pair spent almost 15 months to drew a textbook five-wave impulse. The pattern is labeled 1-2-3-4-5, where wave 1 unfolded as a leading diagonal , and five sub-waves of wave 3 and wave 5 are also visible.

According to the Elliott Wave theory, a three-wave correction follows every impulse. This means the overlapping bullish price action we saw in the last three years is hardly the start of a new uptrend. Instead, it is most likely a complex W-X-Y-X-Z triple three correction within the larger downtrend from 2015 high @ 2.5344.

Note how the resistance level discouraged the bulls in wave Z and also made a double top . This is another indication that the entire 5-3 wave cycle is complete. If this count is correct, we can expect the trend to resume in the direction of the impulsive sequence.

Furthermore, the sell-off is supposed to breach 2016 low, so targets below 1.67004 make sense for GBPNZD going forward.

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