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GBP/USD Technical Analysis and Key Events to Watch

FX:GBPUSD   British Pound / U.S. Dollar
The GBP/USD currency pair recently reached the 1.25240 resistance level, leading to uncertainty in the market. In our previous analysis, we identified potential supply zones at 1.25240, 1.25648, and 1.26252. The currency pair remains technically bullish, as the price is above the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA), and the MACD line is above the zero level.

A bearish divergence is visible on the 4-hour chart, with the MACD signal line indicating bearish control. On the 1-hour chart, the MACD has crossed the zero level, and bearish pressure is evident. The direction of the GBP/USD pair will depend on whether the trendline support holds or breaks and later retests as resistance.

Key fundamental factors to watch next week include the ZEW economic sentiment, Euro Area inflation print, and hawkish rhetoric from the European Central Bank (ECB). These events can impact the GBP/USD pair, making it crucial to monitor them for a better understanding of the market's potential direction.

The following economic events may also influence the GBP/USD pair:

Empire State Manufacturing Index
Claimant Count Change
Average Earnings Index 3m/y
CPI y/y
Unemployment Claims
Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
FOMC Member Waller Speaks
Existing Home Sales
Retail Sales m/m
Flash Manufacturing PMI
Flash Services PMI
To navigate the uncertainty, traders should stay informed, use technical analysis tools, employ risk management techniques, practice patience, and learn from experience. By monitoring key events and employing these strategies, traders can optimize their approach to the GBP/USD market.

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