Shakalyn_forex

NZDCHF SELL (short) IDEA

Short
OANDA:NZDCHF   NZD/CHF
NZDCHF currently has a score of -6, or a Strong Sell rating after adding up all categories. First, let's look at what institutional traders are buying/selling. We can see that theNZD has a long percentage of 37.31%, and we see that the CHF has a long percentage of 28.35%. This category receives a 0, as institutional traders have no strongly favored asset.
Taking a look at NZDCHF, we see that retail traders are 61% long, and 39% short. We consider this information most useful when a market is at an extreme reading from retail traders. If the retail crowd is 60% or more positioned to one side, we get a +1 or -1. Currently, theNZDCHF gets a reading of -1 in this category. Remember, if the retail crowd is very long, we will look to short, and vice versa.
Taking a look at seasonality, we get a score of -1. What this tells us is that based on historical data, this market tends to fall during this month.
Trend reading is based on the daily chart, using the 5, 8, and 21 Exponential Moving Average. The more 'aligned' they are, the stronger the trend up or down. In this case, we have a score of -2.
Finally, let's look at fundamentals. GDP growth favors the CHF, inflation favors the CHF, unemployment favors the CHF and interest rates favor the NZD

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