ridethepig

ridethepig | NZD Market Commentary 2020.05.26

Short
FX:NZDUSD   New Zealand Dollar / U.S. Dollar
It is evident that a general round of profit taking for buyers is called for, it will act as a catalyst to kickstart a fresh leg into USD and provide a helping hand from markets to put -ve rates back on the table for Fed. One more time it is all eyes on Equities, if those betting on a quick V-shaped recovery lose their tempo we can see blood on the streets.


The squeeze higher in NZDUSD is healthy into month end from a strictly positioning perspective. The USD Long boat was heavily loaded to one side and needed a shake-up.


The sweep lower in AUD and NZD will demonstrate the exploitation of Keynsian economics. By pushing the USD bid the obvious collateral damage in EM FX and High Beta FX can easily lead to pressure on the inelasticity between Whitehouse / Fed combo. Watch-out for wild swings ahead, we can cover the flows live below.

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