ReallyMe

S&P 500 Economic Supercycles: What Are They and What Lies Ahead?

SP:SPX   S&P 500 Index
Here's my modest attempt to identify S&P 500 Supercycles.
The chart shows the S&P 500 (monthly bars) since 1872 on a log scale.
Maybe it is not as bad as they say, and we are currently "just" in the Supercycle Wave 2.
Before us would be the longest Wave 3. Hopefully that's true. I can dream, can't I? ;-)
Comment: That's what I currently see hapenning on a bigger scale:
Where would all that money come from to buy up the market? Everybody is broke and living on credit and the goverments around the world will soon have a problem since nobody wants to by up dept anymore and that makes it difficult to inflate the economy and increase spending and investing.
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ReallyMe VGPCAPITAL
@VGPCAPITAL, Good question. As I see it, we are only halfway through. Still going down. Large amounts of excess money that is still in circulation are being destroyed. When we are at the lowest point then ...
Where did the money come from at the end of Wave 2 in June 1949 and in July 1982?
+1 Reply
Very interesting chart, thank you
+1 Reply
ReallyMe marberisking
@marberisking, You're welcome.
+1 Reply
So, your dream is hyper-inflation? This could happen you know.
Reply
ReallyMe Cincinnatuus
@Cincinnatuus, I am looking forward to Wave 3. I know that Wave 2 could happen because I wrote this idea. ;-) But thanks for pointing out that it could happen.
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