S&P has been trading within a Channel Up ever since the November 2020 U.S. elections. During that time, the RSI on the 1D time-frame has never gone above 76.30. Right now however, it is overbought and approaching the 80.000 Resistance where it was last seen on September 03 2020. As you see on the chart this overbought valuation couldn't do otherwise buy initiate a medium-term pull-back of -10%, which broke below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
If the same pattern is followed, then a -10% correction would put the price exactly on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at around 4250. Of course that depends on where the top is made but right now S&P500 is exactly at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 12 month Channel Up you see on the chart. Technically if it gets rejected here, then the first buyers should appear on the 1D MA50. In any case the next target is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at 4825.
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If the same pattern is followed, then a -10% correction would put the price exactly on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at around 4250. Of course that depends on where the top is made but right now S&P500 is exactly at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 12 month Channel Up you see on the chart. Technically if it gets rejected here, then the first buyers should appear on the 1D MA50. In any case the next target is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at 4825.
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** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. **
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.