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Indotermes

T10Y3M: Recession Still Far

10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 3-Month Treasury Constant Maturity (FRED:T10Y3M)  
Indotermes  
FRED:T10Y3M   10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 3-Month Treasury Constant Maturity
Trend Analysis Chart Patterns recession bonds yieldcurve
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trendanalysis chartpattern recession bonds yieldcurve
This chart suggests that the coming recession will be anywhere from Q4 next year to Q4 2024 which is much later than what the 10 minus 2 year chart could be saying. There's also a possibility that the recent inversion is a false signal but unlike the 1998 fakeout, it went deeper and is much more likely a legitimate signal.
Pre-recession Pump
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