Prediction of next financial downturn

Simon_says Updated   
According to FedWatch Tool there will be 2 or even 3 interest rate CUTS in late 2020.

It means the difference between US10-US02Y spread will move up - arrow on the plot. We can already see that values jumped to 1.63 and that will continue!

The vertical dashed lines indicate the official beginning of recessions from

While the horizontal line (red/green) indicate 250 days moving average; Every time US10Y-US02Y crossed the 250d average the recession occurred but was not announced until a few months later!

It means interest cuts will follow during Presidential elections in the US and recession will not be announced until 2021!!!
Comment: Probability of US Recession Predicted by Treasury Spread, Official NY FED website

The Most Scary and Important Chart You NEED to See Right Now:
Comment: Bond market anticipating future Fed rate cuts
Comment: The Entire Treasury Yield Curve Is 'Inverted'
Comment: Here we go again: Bank of America calls for 50 basis point cut at Fed's March meeting
Comment: Two weeks before Official FOMC meeting, Fed cuts rates by half a percentage point to combat Coronavirus slowdown - that escalated very quickly!
Comment: Market Massacre: Oil Crashes 30%, Dow Down 1,000, VIX Explodes As Spoos Crater
Comment: Stocks Suffer Worst Week Since Lehman Despite Biggest Fed Bailout Ever
Comment: Very nice video, please watch: Will the Coronavirus TRIGGER a Global Recession?

These Updating Charts Show How Many People Are Losing Their Jobs Amid The Coronavirus Pandemic
Comment: The US will have negative interest rates in 2020/21, FED just needs another wave of nCov19 as an excuse!
Comment: Bloomberg urges users to get set for negative US rates

The stock market didn't plunge due to gigantic stimulus i.e. money-printing!

Please check out this very nice visualisation of $10+ Trillion 2020 Economic Stimulus in Cash
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Comment: 'Recovery' Hopes Fade As US Wholesale Inventories Unexpectedly Plunge In June
Comment: Gold And Crypto: Is This How Charts Look Before A Monetary Collapse?
Comment: The most predictable global financial crisis
Trade active: JPM: "Bond Yields Are Likely To Move Higher From Here" But The Real Question Is "What's Behind The Move"

You've got to Pump it up,
Don't you know Pump it up!!

Danzel - Pump It Up
Comment: We are already in a crisis that nobody wants to announce:

Obviously healthcare crisis related to nCov19 is more important :-/
Comment: Plenty of various indicators
Comment: "Treasury Secretary Yellen says rates may have to rise somewhat to keep economy from overheating" - that will be the last nail to the coffin and will inevitably cause the yield curve to move higher and flip the market.
Comment: #CNBCTV

"Inflation could be 20% in the next three years: Wharton's Jeremy Siegel"
Comment: A Major BEARISH Signal Not Seen for 14 Years (Market and Crypto Analysis)
Comment: Alarm bells over a possible recession from raising interest rates too quickly

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