InvestingScope

S&P500: Bearish but the 1D MA50 can reverse the course

The S&P500 index has been trading within a Channel Down pattern on the 1D time-frame ever since the December 1st rejection on the Lower Highs Resistance (Jan 4th) and the Dec 13th rejection on the 1W MA50.

With the 1D technicals neutral (RSI = 50.198, MACD = -15.660, ADX = 19.596), this is technically the level to sell as the price is at the top of the Channel Down. As long as it holds, our target is 3,710, which is marginally above the 3,695 Support of the Nov 3rd 2022 low.

A break above the 1D MA50 reverses the bearish trend and we'll target the 1D MA200 and the Lower Highs (Jan 4th) Resistance again. This scenario is supported by the Higher High (HH) on the 1D RSI (which is a bullish divergence also seen in early October and May 2022) and the 1D MACD which just formed a Bullish Cross, also consistent with the aforementioned market Lows.

Closing a candle above the 1W MA50 would restore the long-term bullish trend and we will take that break-out to target the 4,330 Resistance (Aug 16th 2022 High).



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