haug01
Long

VIXM long when RSI approaching 50

AMEX:VIXM   PROSHARES TRUST VIX MID-TERM FUTURES ETF
In my prior VIX             ideas, I analyzed VIX             value trends. I noted that the mid-term VIX             etfs/etns ( VIXM             and VXZ             ) tended to trend downwards over time and also lagged behind VIX             value movements. After then analyzing VIXM             , I noted these observations can be seen quantitatively in the RSI . Note that the VIXM             is usually declining with a negative RSI . Successful VIXM             long trades appear to occur as the RSI trends up and crosses 50. Volumes are usually high as well. While I opened long positions in VIXM             and UVXY             , that was premature and these will not do well short term. Certainly a cost averaging approach can work but VIXM             reacts slowly. I will not buy more VIXM             until the RSI is trending up towards 50 with increasing volumes. Since these low VIX             episodes occur during strong bull markets, drops in the S&P 500             (and rising VIX             ) are leading indicators for going long in VIXM             .
Comment: The VIXM daily RSI is 42 on the Heikin Ashi chart and 45 on the candles chart today.

The existing homes sales report will be released at 10 a.m. ET today.

The weekly crude oil inventory data will be released at 10:30 a.m.

I am 100% in cash now. I will open a small position today and will add if the market trend is favorable. Trade with care. VIXM is a money losing machine except during SPX500 downturns.
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