jpbrown1023

How to Read Pennant Price Action More Accurately

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jpbrown1023 Updated   
BINANCE:WRXBTC   None
We're all here on TV for the same reason, to become better traders and to make money. I came across this tip not too long ago and found that it really helped me read the price action better within pennants, so I wanted to share it with the community.

Pennants form after a strong movement in price (either up or down) where the price bounces back in forth in a small area before it has to make a decision of where to go. The rule of thumb with pennants is they tend to break out in the same direction they were entered. This is often referred as a continuation pattern, where the price continues in the same direction it was heading. If the price was heading up, it will more likely than not break out to the upside and continue upward and vice versa. However,
I noticed many times pennants not following that rule and I paid the price for being complacent in my trade. That was when I got this tip from Francis Hunt (highly recommended analyst) and it has really helped in anticipating where the price action is headed.

Looking at WRX, notice how the price has strong spikes up in the price, followed by slow sell offs? This is bullish price action where the buyers are in control and it often leads to breakouts to the upside. I am merely using this price action as an example. WRX is a newly listed coin on Binance that did 9x in its first couple days on the exchange, so take this example more for the price action behavior than as evidence that it is going to explode to the upside.

Now look at the pennant I have to the right of that. It entered the pennant on a bullish breakout so the price should continue in the same direction right? Well take a look at the price action inside the pennant. Notice the difference in how the price is reacting? In this case, each time the price slowly rises and is met with a sharp fall. This is an indication that the sellers are in control and you should be cautious of a strong breakout to the downside.

I hope this tip helps you gauge your future trades into pennants more accurately. I have found that it has helped me dodge some sharp falls and take advantage of some big gains. I suggest you start searching the charts and analyzing the price action within those pennants to see if you notice this pattern as well. I hope it serves you as well as it has served me.
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