Crude oil prices went up on Friday due to Israel's expansion of ground operations in Gaza. This has raised concerns about the possibility of the conflict spreading in a region responsible for a third of the world's oil production.
Turning our attention to China, we're eagerly awaiting the release of manufacturing and services PMI data for October. Investors are looking for signs that the world's top importer of crude oil, China, is stabilising economically. Market participants are especially interested in assessing whether Beijing's supportive measures have boosted oil demand.
The US Dollar (USD) is facing resistance as market expectations lean towards the likelihood of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) keeping interest rates at 5.5% in the upcoming Wednesday meeting. However, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing positive movement after a lukewarm performance during the Asian session, currently hovering around 106.70.
The 10-year US Bond is making a comeback, reaching 4.85% at the moment, which is providing support for the US Dollar. In addition, investors will keep a close eye on key indicators such as the US ADP Employment Change and the ISM Manufacturing PMI for October.
Investors are approaching the upcoming US Federal Reserve policy meeting and China's manufacturing data with caution, which is leading to a drop in crude oil prices. This cautious stance is overshadowing the support that was previously provided by tensions in the Middle East.
Overall, we are bearish but we are anticipating an up move to $88 price before seeing a drop down to $82, from there another potential drop to the $79 prize zone could happen*!? But right now we will be focusing on that up move to $88 and looking to short it from that level, please see chart above for details!
*Potential further drop to $79 price zone (as mentioned above)
Turning our attention to China, we're eagerly awaiting the release of manufacturing and services PMI data for October. Investors are looking for signs that the world's top importer of crude oil, China, is stabilising economically. Market participants are especially interested in assessing whether Beijing's supportive measures have boosted oil demand.
The US Dollar (USD) is facing resistance as market expectations lean towards the likelihood of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) keeping interest rates at 5.5% in the upcoming Wednesday meeting. However, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing positive movement after a lukewarm performance during the Asian session, currently hovering around 106.70.
The 10-year US Bond is making a comeback, reaching 4.85% at the moment, which is providing support for the US Dollar. In addition, investors will keep a close eye on key indicators such as the US ADP Employment Change and the ISM Manufacturing PMI for October.
Investors are approaching the upcoming US Federal Reserve policy meeting and China's manufacturing data with caution, which is leading to a drop in crude oil prices. This cautious stance is overshadowing the support that was previously provided by tensions in the Middle East.
Overall, we are bearish but we are anticipating an up move to $88 price before seeing a drop down to $82, from there another potential drop to the $79 prize zone could happen*!? But right now we will be focusing on that up move to $88 and looking to short it from that level, please see chart above for details!
*Potential further drop to $79 price zone (as mentioned above)
