Gold_Digger_King

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Short
OANDA:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
In the European market on Tuesday (March 12), spot gold maintained its downward trend during the day, with the current price of gold at $2,172 per ounce. On this trading day, gold traders will focus on the U.S. CPI report, which is expected to trigger a big move in the gold market. Analyze and predict gold price trends.
So far, gold prices are consolidating below all-time highs. A weak U.S. CPI report could offset the overbought effects of the Relative Strength Index (RSI), triggering a new rebound in gold prices.
Gold prices need U.S. CPI data to miss expectations in order to break through the $2,200/ounce mark.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release its February Consumer Price Index (CPI) report.
The U.S. CPI year-on-year increase in February is expected to be 3.1%, the same as January, while the year-on-year core inflation rate is expected to fall to 3.7% from 3.9% in January. Mehta said the more important month-on-month CPI data is expected to rise 0.4%, compared with a 0.3% increase in January. The core CPI growth rate in February is expected to be 0.3% month-on-month, compared with 0.4% in the first month of this year.
Unexpected declines in February's overall CPI and core CPI month-on-month data may lead to the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in June, triggering a new round of dollar selling and pushing gold prices to record highs. With U.S. CPI falling short of expectations, U.S. Treasury yields will face tremendous bearish pressure, triggering a new upward trend in gold prices.
On the other hand, if the inflation data released in the United States are stronger than expected and seriously affect the expectation that the Federal Reserve will turn to dovish policy as early as June, gold prices may experience a sharp correction.
Gold prices are likely to maintain cautious trading momentum ahead of the U.S. CPI release as risk sentiment remains slightly positive.
Gold latest technical analysis
The near-term technical outlook for gold prices remains broadly unchanged, as indicated by the daily chart of the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), which could see a pullback amid overbought conditions.
However, the next move in gold prices still depends on US CPI data.
If the U.S. CPI data unexpectedly drops, it may push the gold price to a historical high of $2,195/ounce. Once it breaks through this level, the gold price will need to continue to break through the $2,200 mark to target the psychological mark of $2,250/ounce.
On the other hand, U.S. inflation data may prolong the correction in gold prices and drop towards the March 8 low of $2,154 per ounce.
The next support for gold prices is expected to be $2,145/ounce, which is the 23.6% Fibonacci of the March 7 low and the rebound from $1,984/ounce (February 14 low) to $2,195/ounce (historical high) The confluence point of the retracement level.
According to the current trend of gold, the price of gold continues to fall. At this stage, the price of gold reached 78.0 US dollars and was unable to break through the resistance, and then continued to fall. Only by paying attention to my signals at any time can you make the right choice.
Gold prices expected to fall
It is recommended to go short in the short term: short around $72.0
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Gold prices hit bottom and rebound

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