Binary_Forecasting_Service

INCOMPLETE PREPWORK FOR 21 HOURS

Long
FX_IDC:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
HEADER - This is a follow up of previous work. As a precaution, first rule of trading is don't lose money. As a reminder, second rule of trading is don't forget first rule. As usual, this is meant to used with - whenever possible - continuously updating notes. As always, when price moves against stated plan and updates have not been provided, just scrap the plan and trade defensively until new updates.

SUMMARY - So this is titled "incomplete" bc it's not my standard work. Why? That is because I am trying to give you something that is "better than nothing". We will return to standard work next week maybe? Whenever I get back home and more time for wave reconciliation. That will forecasts last several days instead of the 16 hours we have been doing. This chart is the 3 routes for the next 21 hours or through Friday New York close.

DETAILS - See previous posts for background. I will add more notes soon.
Comment:
10/19 - For chart above in 15 min bars w/ 3 routes:
a) if you need to know how we got here, read the last post, especially the last third here:
b) blue route is original "manipulated curves" from last post
c) so there was a gray route from notes in last post that showed how price "has to catch up now... (bc of the price repression that happened last night)
d) you can see the repression by replaying this here:
e) so orange route in chart above is IF GRAY ROUTE IS ALSO MANIPULATED
Comment:
f) so in this scenario, orange route is OUR BASE CASE
g) that leaves yellow route
h) yellow route is if that manipulation goes all the way up to the political class (as opposed to just financial class)
i) how would I forecast that?
j) Biden is about announce something (maybe in process I don't know)
k) if the case he makes for DUAL SUPPORT OF UKRAINE/ISRAEL...
l) that's inflationary
m) so the machines will catch that news and drive momentum all the way up
n) I even have regression evidence for this yellow move
o) it's just an obvious under dog to our orange route
Comment:
10/19 8:24 PM ET... FWIW, my daily notes have caugth almost the entirety of this price action since 9/12:
Comment:
Comment:
8:29 PM ET... not a big deal, bc I've done better before in 1 SINGULAR POST.
a) but I only bring it up if you consider the vol we've been through in this spot vs last 3 years
b) here:
Comment:
8:40 PM ET -- Biden is done with the speech. Was done at 8:31 PM ET.
Comment:
8:56 PM ET -- Orange route refined:
Comment:
a) so no "new" news from Biden killed yellow route
b) that leaves a slightly different orange route now
c) and that's it
Comment:
d) the differences are minor
e) a higher first step, the second step becomes 2 smaller steps, and the third step is higher
f) rest is same
Comment:
g) again if orange plays through just 2010, not even the rest ...
h) bc it's a FASTER AND QUICKER 2010 then possible BEFORE the repression
Comment:
i) there's something artificial going on
Comment:
j) 9:13, merging the first 3 steps into one now:
Comment:
k) long story short: artificial orange curve still dominating blue at 1972.xx and 9:15 PM ET
Comment:
10/19 10:11 now it doesn't look like this again:
Comment:
a) it's just a bit late... but should catch all the way up...
b) why did the orange path shift?
c) it's ALWAYS shifting because it is just extrapolating a number of different time frames
d) and each of those time frame is individually shifting
e) but sometimes can look different based on when "they align" for the bigger moves"
f) if they don't align, you can't get a big move bc some frames are selilng and some are buying
Comment:
10:28 PM ET 1978.60 it's dragging its feet a bit... but
a) it still says a spike up hard is coming soon
b) we are likely to out perform the orange curve in original chart at top LATER
c) we just got to get to that first spike
Comment:
SOME BAD NEWS...
a) my project got shot down again today...
b) so crazy... I thought we were doing well
c) dang shame
Comment:
10/19 10:47 PM ET - 1979.XX we need 2035 to close this week so it's 56 more
a) with blue path, we should not make it (itself a manipulated path)
b) with orange path (twice manipulated) we will make by 2PM ET tomorrow
c) so just use orange path the rest of the way, it should play from where I stand now
d) I gotta do some thinking about how to make this project continue
e) right now, I really don't have a way this is so stupid...
f) good luck tonight and tomorrow
Comment:
10/19 11:00 PM ET. GOING FORWARD.
a) if a post make you money that day, please post, "MQP, you made me money today."
b) I need this from you to keep making these things for you
c) that's it
Comment:
d) nope that won't help either...
e) they already have someone... that's why
f) this entire time, I thought I was in the run for something
g) damn shame
Comment:
5:15 AM ET 1984.XX Going to move for 2010 or higher.
1) so after failing to keep up with orange route the whole night
2) we are moving for 2010 maybe higher today
Comment:
3) the close looks like 2015 or 2020
Comment:
5:37 AM So my plans to make this a real thing have gotten crushed.
1. There are no realistic routes forward for this project in its current format.
2. This comes down to demand for this work and that's not coming from the firm I was doing this for.
3. So where do we go from here?
Comment:
4. This last move up for this week should happen after the 7:30 ET AND 8:30 ET markers.
5. 7:30 is event marker. 8:30 is NY open.
6. Earlier, the close looks like 2015-2020.
7. This is the aftermarket close, not the NY close.
Comment:
THIS IS THE PUZZLE I HAVE, NOW THAT SOFTWARE IS NOT THE IMMEDIATE FUTURE
1) I have all the tools to do short-medium term forecasting now
2) and when I say forecasting, I mean useful forecasting that you can trade with and win
3) not useless stuff
4) I just developed a method to counter price manipulation too
5) and I can repackage it in a easy to consume manner
6) but I can make 10-12k a month in my day job (which is easy AF bc I've been doing for 20 years), but tax-adjusted that would be like $15k a month
7) so I would have to be paid 150 times per month by Tradinview (bc it's $100 each time, and I'VE NEVER BEEN PAID IT, think about that for a second) in order to make this a realistic future
8) so is this even possible?
Comment:
9) or sell the remaining rights now to the latest corporate offer... which isn't even 1/3 the mortgage on my house
10) a guy said a few days ago, he's surprised I even have time to trade
11) that's bc when I trade often (with legit risk/return) then I don't even post
12) bc when income is on the line, all my focus is making sure I get that income
13) so my trades are usually in the strongest moments or medium term... like weeks
14) but I say that bc he hit the nail on the head... I don't have time to post AND trade...
15) I have to choose
Comment:
16) that choice right now is to shut down posting ideas (bc they cost tons of time and produce zero return)
Comment:
7:28 AM ET... So price is hugging blue closer to gray from last post like this:
Comment:
Comment:
a) chart above is from notes from last post...
b) so we didn't get extra manipulation
c) we just got a higher adjustment for previous manipulation
d) bc it's closer to blue not gray
e) but the ending of it... starting now to end of today
should reflect gray not blue
Comment:
f) 8:00 90 min to open, there are two floors for this check down
g) while price is under blue curve can hit 1974 as deep 1971
h) but it is a buy for 2015 close
Comment:
8:17 AM ET HOLD ON A MINUTE
a) first two event markers are 8:30 and 9:30 ET (not 7:30 and 8:30), I'm in Houston, had hours wrong
b) second) there's something fishy going on on 1-min bars
c) I can't tell if they are up to something bearish
d) I will add soon
Comment:
8:20 AM ET 1976.50 MUST HOLD HERE... OR SOMETHING ELSE IS UP
Comment:
8:22 AM ET: HERE ARE THE BOXES FROM LAST POST:
Comment:
a) so we SHOULD NOT HIT THE BOTTOM OF THAT BOX
b) if we do, the hourly curves will shift down HARD
Comment:
c) 8:25 AM ET.. 1974.xx bears have 5 min to hit 1965:
Comment:
d) first reaction will be V pattern, whether it stops at 74, 71, or 65... BUT I don't know how strong of a "V"
e) should be "strong enough"
Comment:
f) 8:28 AM 2-3 mins left... floor is probably 1971-174
Comment:
g) 8:30 AM ET spiking down to 1973.xx SHOULD HOLD HERE
Comment:
h) 8:34 AM ET 1976.xx THAT'S THE CALL: STRONG V REACTION W/ 2015 AFTERMARKET CLOSE LIKE THIS:
Comment:
a) for chart above:
b) should still out perform original blue route by 9:30 or 10:00 ET
c) closing just a tad stronger
d) I guess manipulaters get gun shy too
Comment:
e) so going for my AM run, here's the bear warning:
Comment:
a) see that black arrow?
b) it is from the bottom 1973.xx shooting at 2010 at 12:30 PM ET
c) PRICE MUST HOLD THIS CURVE ALL THE WAY TO AT LEAST 2008
d) at no point should it get "under that line" like where that orange marker is
e) if it starts doing that for even 60 minutes... something else is up
f) while I have no reason for that happen..
g) manipulaters like to manipulate
h) that's a wrap for this post, this day, and this week
Comment:
WEEKLY WRAP UP:
1) first for new readers, I can call moves continuously only when I watch continuously (w/ exception of manipulated curves which I can warn hours a head, but not "call outright minutes before")
2) so if I'm not watching I can't warn more than I just did above
3) for everyone else, I'm trying to figure something out so ..
4) for this move 2035 should be the ceiling either today or sunday or monday
5) beyond that, there is no more value for the move that can be forecasted w/o continuous updating notes every 5 minutes so its not worth it
6) that's bc above 2035 it will be reverse stick save
7) anything above 2035, like 2040, 50, 60, or 70, WILL GET SHOT DOWN IN HOURS OR MAYBE JUST 1 HOUR
8) that's I can say about the first top
Comment:
9) I can't keep doing it this way, it's not working for me
10) there's gotta be a better way
Comment:
11) if the black line breaks... there are decent odds for a channel like this:
Comment:
12) but be way more cautious under the first line
Comment:
gotta run, but put the second line at 1973.5 and 9:30 like this parallel to first line
Comment:
9:49 AM ET 1982.XX THE SECOND LINE HAS FIRST TOP AT 1988-89.
1) I will check down creating a third line maybe a 4th
2) but will get higher anyway
Comment:
3) 10:04 EXACTLY AS FORCASTED...
1) 1988-89
2) strong V reaction on second line... from 9:30 marker
3) is that not world class?
Comment:
4) I'm actually still running so I can't tell if a third line gets made soon
Comment:
5) it's bc or the vol of the spike
6) but what do I get I return for that?
Comment:
7) I am not gaining enough followers to make it worth it
Comment:
8) at the current rate, it MAYBE WORTH MY TIME ... in 7 years
9) I thought about during my run
10) I have no incentive to do it this way
Comment:
11) which sucks bc it took 7.75 years part time to make this work
Comment:
Somebody tell how.
Comment:
Comment:
11:40 challenging 2nd line ... going for 3rd line?
1) can't tell
2) don't have waves on at airport...
Comment:
1:05 too late now... but break of 3rd line would be sell signal
Comment:
> if price moves for 1978, it is a buy.
Comment:
2:18 PM 2ND TIME AT 1978, 1974 1ST TIME.
a) looking a mess by now
b) all I got is my phone
c) can't give any useful info
Comment:
10/20 7:22 PM ET - I HAVE ONE TRADE TO MAKE WITH YOU, THE PERSON READING THIS:
1. from now which is 10/20/23 to 01/28/24, a total of 100 days
2. I will give you world class forecasting of gold prices
3. with updated refreshed 3-4 NEW POSTS PER DAY
3. just what price will do, none of technical you-don't-want-to know stuff
4. forecasts that will make you serious money day-in, day-out, week-in, week-out
5. in return for making you money, I ask that you tell 3-4 NEW PEOPLE PER DAY about it
6. but it has to be someone in your life THAT YOU KNOW PERSONALLY
7. that's it, this my last attempt to gain attention for my work
Comment:
8. and they don't even have to be traders, can just be regular everyday people
9. as long as it is someone you know
Comment:
10. they don't have to be on tradingview either
11. they don't have to be a follower
12. you just have to tell them
Comment:
13. that's a wrap for everything this week
14. I will post a new format starting next week
Comment:
15. I decided on 3-4 posts per day bc that's the number YOU need to not be caught off guard by price action
Comment:
16. here's first look at next 100 days:
Comment:
17. this, this is the the resurgence of the gold bull market from 1810 to what looks like 3620 (first estimate), for 2024-2025
Comment:
18. and yes, it has to be around the clock... like 6 AM 12 PM 6PM 12 AM
Comment:
19. this is the only way to not be caught guard by manipulation (either direction)
Comment:
AND THIS POST HAS ENDED - I INTRODUCE: THE MOST ACCURATE FORECAST IN THE WORLD #1 (named to get attention, that's the whole point)
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