Traders pile into gold following more signs that the US recovery is stuck in neutral, causing the metal to jump over $20 per ounce to a high of $1,218.84 per toz. Retail sales sour economists’ hopes of a strong consumer as core retail sales, ex-autos, rise only .1 percent. This was .4 percent lower than expectations and .6 percent lower than the following month’s print. Retail sales,month-over-month, did not show any growth.
Economists, like Deutsche Bank’s Joe LaVorgna, that were quick to point out weather conditions were to blame for poor data were rather tame following April’s data. Retail sales, year-over-year, were the worst its been since the financial crisis kicked off in 2008. That’s comforting.
The US dollar index fell sharply, closing below 94. The fall from grace has been swift, and dollar-priced have been well supported. Profit taking during the Asian trading session has gold above $1,212 per toz, and silver hangs onto $17 per toz.
Even though today’s session for precious metals were great to watch, or trade, it still remains traders that precious metals are range bound – even after the dollar’s move lower.
Essentially, gold has been trading is a large range that covers about $1,140 to $1,224. The top of the range lies a that price action has yet to breakout of, and the intraday chart is showing the sideways action of gold’s trend.
The intraday price action remains mixed. There is profit taking near the top of the sideways action, but gold has been able to close above the minor downward trend within the range. Demand will lie at $1,207/9 and $1,200, while a deeper retracement is probable at $1,192 per toz. There is activity, but the 4H chart remains in overbought territory.
Gold , and the dollar, could see further action tomorrow. Initial jobless claims will be followed by the producer price index, which saw it’s first positive print last month in its last five.
Not to mention, you can piggy back the gold trade of the Swissy.