THE MOST ACCURATE PRICE FORECAST IN THE WORLD #2-5
HEADER - Binary outcome with blue at 7:3
DETAILS - Will add immediately.
DETAILS - Will add immediately.
Comment:
8:33 AM ET - Blue leads 8:2:
Comment:
8:36 AM ET: Blue leads 9-1: WILL CONTINUE WITH NOTES IN THE COMMENTS SECTION
Comment:
8:37 AM ET. POST WRAP UP.
1) I will be live for maybe 90 minutes or so for this morning
2) notes will go in the comments section
3) after that it's a wrap for Friday
1) I will be live for maybe 90 minutes or so for this morning
2) notes will go in the comments section
3) after that it's a wrap for Friday
Comment:
THIS POST HAS ENDED: PREWORK FOR MONDAY:
Comment:
TO CLOSE THIS OUT -- SCRAP CHART ABOVE, THIS ONE BELOW IS BASE CASE:
1) there's nothing worth trading for until midnight Sun to Monday
2) and the strong move won't come until Monday 5AM at the earliest 9 AM latest
2) and the strong move won't come until Monday 5AM at the earliest 9 AM latest
Comment:
3) what a waste of time today, should've just skipped today like original plans
Trade closed manually:
10/27 3:22 PM ET, 2006.xx not surprised, just didn't think it would happen AFTER Friday future options expire. Prices just never move after 12:30 PM ET on Friday. I can think of like once maybe twice in the last several years when price moved "meaningfully" like that. And here it broke the triangle exactly at that time, so consider:
So before I move to #2-6. Replay these so I can prove my point. First, #1 and #1B, both of which we would still be using IF we weren't interfered by "continuous update restrictions" to hide them in private posts or comments. Second #2 and #2-1. ALL FOUR OF THESE forecasted a high for Friday (today) in sync w/ the 50-day and the 100-day, in the thesis which I put last.
#1:
#1B:
#2:
#2-1:
THESIS:
SO? So starting with #2-2, -3, -4, -5, I was only focused on next 12-24 hours. And as I said somewhere in #2-2 or #2-3, It makes us lose frame of reference. This is the problem of not being able to see ALL OF IT ON ONE CHART. Making new posts every 8-12 hours is time consuming AF. Once again, no incentive to do it this way. So I gotta regroup and think about this. While I understand why they have the rules the way they are, it's not helping me out any. If I put updates in private posts my visibility is down 85%. In comments, 75%. If I do new posts, then it's 10% not terrible. I'm done with this, forget it.
So before I move to #2-6. Replay these so I can prove my point. First, #1 and #1B, both of which we would still be using IF we weren't interfered by "continuous update restrictions" to hide them in private posts or comments. Second #2 and #2-1. ALL FOUR OF THESE forecasted a high for Friday (today) in sync w/ the 50-day and the 100-day, in the thesis which I put last.
#1:
SO? So starting with #2-2, -3, -4, -5, I was only focused on next 12-24 hours. And as I said somewhere in #2-2 or #2-3, It makes us lose frame of reference. This is the problem of not being able to see ALL OF IT ON ONE CHART. Making new posts every 8-12 hours is time consuming AF. Once again, no incentive to do it this way. So I gotta regroup and think about this. While I understand why they have the rules the way they are, it's not helping me out any. If I put updates in private posts my visibility is down 85%. In comments, 75%. If I do new posts, then it's 10% not terrible. I'm done with this, forget it.
Trade closed: stop reached:
10/28 9:47 AM ET -- We need Thesis Part 2 because the 100-day picture and 50-day picture has changed. But I don't enough time to get something out. Because of this, next post will be #3, instead of #2-6. FWIW here's what looks like now and I will break it down in notes. So be aware when #3 has a major shift in what expectations are:
1) for chart above, we will get a staircase
2) targets are 2050, 2080 and probably 2120
3) today is 10/28 and 2008, we will staircase to 2120 by before mid-december
4) then we will make a high W" bottom with the second bottom coming first 10 days of January (this is exactly 75 days out)
5) this second bottom at this time looks like 2040 (not that we know, but we need an estimate)
6) then come the trade of your life (bc of r/r especially in futures options
7) first from 1/09-1/30 price should match the December high (2120) (so a 4% move up)
8) 1/31 is FOMC
9) from 1/31 to 3/08 there should be a 21% move
10) to wrap this up:
a) Jan 9 to Jan 30, 2040-2120
b) Jan 31 to 03/08, 2090-2540
11) this is basically the picture of thesis part 2 that I might now have time to get to this week
12) so be aware of this
2) targets are 2050, 2080 and probably 2120
3) today is 10/28 and 2008, we will staircase to 2120 by before mid-december
4) then we will make a high W" bottom with the second bottom coming first 10 days of January (this is exactly 75 days out)
5) this second bottom at this time looks like 2040 (not that we know, but we need an estimate)
6) then come the trade of your life (bc of r/r especially in futures options
7) first from 1/09-1/30 price should match the December high (2120) (so a 4% move up)
8) 1/31 is FOMC
9) from 1/31 to 3/08 there should be a 21% move
10) to wrap this up:
a) Jan 9 to Jan 30, 2040-2120
b) Jan 31 to 03/08, 2090-2540
11) this is basically the picture of thesis part 2 that I might now have time to get to this week
12) so be aware of this
Comment:
Typo ... might NOT, not might now.
Comment:
THIS POST HAS ENDED - HERE IS #3 BUT WITH A MAJOR CHANGE TO PROCES:
