peter-l

Looking ahead to Bitcoin's 2020 market

BITMEX:XBTUSD.P   Bitcoin
Thank you for your trust and support over the past year. Happy New Year to all of you.

The 2019 market is the first half of the big rise, the second half of the big fall. 318% to -53%. According to the rules of adjustment, time and space should be satisfied, so what will happen here?

I give 2 predictions:

The first trend, here is the abc wave b wave. A wave fell from $13,920 to $6,410, with the b-wave's rebound target at around $10,100. This probability is higher. The premise is that the $6,400 bottom ingress is confirmed.

The second trend, here is the fifth wave of the rise. From $3,121 in December 2018, the third wave of the main rise was completed by $19,320, and adjusted to $6410 was the end of the 4-wave adjustment, followed by the 5th wave rise, 5 waves if successful, need to break through $13,920, otherwise considered a failure wave.

But regardless of the wave type, the probability here is probably the bottom of the stage (provided that the weekly macd forms a golden fork).

Recommendation: the daily line is currently in the bottom divergence of the rebound cycle, and the 3-day line also formed a bottom divergence, the next look can drive the weekly line to form a long trend (macd formation of gold fork), from the moving average to see here long-term moving average support, if you can break through the short-term moving average pressure, will confirm the success of bottoming.


Operation strategy: control the position at about 50%, the remaining funds can be after breaking the moving average (3-day line ma6) to add positions.
Standard position: macd long trend (dif greater than dea) + daily line ma18 support
Stop Loss: The price falls below the day line of ma18 exit, waiting for a new entry opportunity.

30年的A股投资经历,水平虽然不高,但经验足够丰富。熊市避坑,牛市逃顶,对于新手可能有所帮助。
需要每日分析,请搜索微信号peter-tqbj,需要股市投资建议搜索星球{抱团取暖,迎接A股牛市},或者星球号64802450
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