Soybeans

Fundamentals: Chinese GDP missed expectations last night, coming in at .4% in the second quarter from a year ago. Analysts were expecting growth at 1%. Retail sales in China rose more than expected, to 3.1%. On deck is U.S. retail sales, 7:30 AM CT. This will likely have an impact on outside markets, which have recently had an impact on money-flow in commodities. Expectations are for .8% month over month.

Techncials: August soybeans continue to linger near the 200-day moving average, trading on it for 7 out of the last 9 sessions. Our pivot pocket remains intact from 1452-1461 ¼. A break and close below here could lead to a retest of last week’s lows. If the Bulls can continue to defend support, the first upside objective would be 1495-1505. With that said, our feelings on soybeans are similar to corn, where we think there could continue to be multiple short-term opportunities for market participants on both sides of the market.

Bias: Neutral
Previous Session Bias: Neutral

Resistance: 1495-1505*, 1513 ¼-1516 ½, 1530-1538*, 1552 ¾-1560
Pivot: 1452-1461 ¼
Support: 1413 ¾-1424 ¼, 1400-1403**

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