The 10-year Treasury note interest derivative contract has been ticking down for a few weeks. We expect to see it bottom out well below 4%. Our inclination is to go short on a close below 4.1.
At the latest FOMC meeting on January 31st, Jerome Powell stated, 'The Fed is not ready to start cutting,' which immediately caused the yield to pivot higher. During an recent interview on Sunday, February 4th, he reiterated that the US central bank is not yet prepared to cut interest rates, resulting in another increase in the yield. Today, we will discuss the...
HELLO TRADERS , As i can the chart is going to reach at a strong resistance zone and 10Y already our bought so i am looking to let it complete this move and then we will get in trade with a very low risk and higher rewards .... kindly share Ur trade ideas and stay tunes for new updates on these charts
Good day Traders and investors, The 10 year yield on the 6 month chart. This is the entire history on one chart. What is going on with the 10 year yield? It is getting very, very volatile. It all started in 2008 with the financial crisis just looming around the corner. At the same time it broke the .236 on the Fibonacci sequence and has been diving ever since....
Gold prices (XAU/USD) rebounded on Friday on risk-off sentiment, shrugging off the rise in U.S. Treasury yields ahead of a key FOMC gathering in the coming days. In late morning trading, bullion was up about 0.75% to $1,925 as equity indices took a nosedive, with the Nasdaq 100 down nearly 1% amid widespread weakness in the technology sector. Despite today's...
gold creating whiks rejections on very key point also structurly its ready to go down from given area .. always trade with confirmation good luck
Gold rush up accordingly to each major news during the bank run crisis in March. Problem seems to subside for now. We will explore the possibility of a contagion effect to a wider bank run in this video. A story of having too much money problem • It is a bank – need to pay interest to depositors • During pandemic - invested 10yrs bonds yield average...
Inflation is plateauing and likely to end flat in 2023, so what will that impact the markets? Though inflation peaked at 9% last year and has been declining to 6.4%, CPI seems to be plateauing and may close flat in 2023, but this is not good news at all. Why? Because the Fed wanted to see the CPI or inflation coming down to 2% in a sustained manner. Studying...
As you can see for the past 9 years 30 year US government bonds was in positive correlation with S&P. The correlation is not 1:1 but about 80% of the times they move together. Two incidents where they were separated was March 2020 Covid event and the subsequent bull run. Even during most of the massive bull run they moved together but a drop in 30 year yields...
The 10 year T is fighting the line. A bounce and break of current downtrend could mean more pain. But a break of the secondary support would demolish the bears as it would signal my long-expected blow-off top in the U.S. stock market. Stay tuned.
Today you can review the technical analysis idea on a 1W linear scale chart for 10 Year Treasury Yield (TNX). In December 2021, I posted a chart showing that the 10Y rate was going to go much higher. I was exactly on point almost to the exact number. Today I was reviewing the 10Y rate chart and saw the RSI formed a double bottom base with the 10Y rate ready to...
10x.....from a low 0.31% in March to 3.48% currently. With Fed speak not being understood by the market....the technicals might. The 10 year yield s are all set to usher the new year at higher levels.
Monthly key level from 2006 is about to be tapped. Close above it, and stock market will be in BIG trouble. Rejection on weekly and monthly level here would give us a breathing space. Key level: 4.4xx%
The 10 year is breaking key area on its way to 3% area. I have been warning about this move for about a year now. Starting with this post back on Feb 25, 2021 Which I expect will soon break higher. Then posted this chart back on March 16th 2021 Followed by "food inflation" post on Apr 23, 2021 Followed by this chart on May 23, 2021 Showing the lagging 10...
Content: • Difference between interest rate and yield? • Why it is important to note of yield curve inversion? • How to tell when Yields are inverted? • What is the long-term trend for interest rates and yields • How to manage a rising yield? Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • ...
I will say it again. Caution in all asset classes remains. How much risk are you taking on for how much reward you are expecting to acquire? Keep asking yourself that question. Better to be out of the market wishing you were in rather than being in the market wishing you were out. is it startinng to make sense now whey i have been saying these things for months now?
Hey Guys, in this video I give my opinion that the 10 Year Bond Yield has broken out above it's multi-decade downward trendline and it's set to go higher because inflation is growing significantly and is at historical extremes above the 10 year yield. I think it's because of the Fed that has absolutely over-flooded the system with liquidity, check out the chart...
In the current high inflation environment we are in and with the Rus-Ukr war pushing energy and other commodity prices higher and higher, we can all agree yields on bonds have every right to move way higher then we have been seeing the past few years. The peak of the 'Tamper-Tantrums' back in November 2018 (Seen with black arrow) we can see the 10 year yield was...