Traders, as we navigate through the second and third quarters, understanding the potential movements of the US 10-year yield TVC:US10Y becomes increasingly crucial. Join me as we analyze the factors shaping the bond market and anticipate the trajectory of the 10-year yield in the coming months. I'm excited to share a comprehensive outlook, encompassing a...
Knock knock. Who's there? I. O. I. O. who? Me. When are you paying Treasury holders back? Never! Bullish Breakout ...to be continued... The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations.
I think a lot of people are thinking that yields will head lower from here, just like they have previously, but I think that bonds will follow the trend that they did last year (which is down), rather than move higher going forward. If you look at the chart, we're in a bearish trend. We're currently below the key support of $101.58. What looks most likely to me...
Charted is a proposed price pathway for the 10yr T Bonds. I'm looking for an easing in yield soon... in the 4.125 area (.786 Fib level) specifically, sometime in early March. This will represent the top of the b wave of wave 4 off the Aug. 2020 low. This expectation flies in the face of recently released inflation related news. As such my parameters are well...
The 10year is confused! will 2023 be bullish or bearish for earnings? We won't know until probably Q1 earnings, so until then markets will be volatile. If 10Yr heads to 5% you can bet earnings will continue to go higher, and S&P will become cheaper even at around 4000. if 10yr sells off and heads to 1.5% means the fed are cutting rates and earnings are dropping...
I know everyone is screaming about Interest Rates, but thought this would bring some renewed perspective. Here is a chart of the 10 year Bond Yield dating back to the 1980s
US Governement Bonds 10Y are at resistance level: AB=CD geometry + 78.6 Fibo. Time for correction? This is monthly chart so this scenario is long-term view
Nothing to be concerned about here... if you're an ostrich. Inflation spiraling out of control, while bonds reflect the loosest monetary policy possible with a dovish Federal Reserve hand-wringing about tanking the markets. M1 has gone beyond parabolic, practically vertical. The Fed communicated this week that they will try and control future prices but they're...
Stalling at recent highs Tech bulls want 10yr to sell off Value/cyclical bulls want 10yr to rally
If rates do not get blocked by that weekly 200 ema and reject from the 1.64 lvl then I would say we are heading into some serious pain for risk assets with a C wave target of 2.14 basis points. IDK guys but im thinking 1.64 holds and SP500 completes my C wave around 4250. Then back up to 5,000 EOY
Just have a small thought about the negative correlation between the U.S. Government 10YR bond and Bitcoin. do you see any correlation and what do you think for next month? some useful links: July 14, 2021 Fed's Powell says economy 'a ways off' from bond taper, inflation to ease WASHINGTON, July 14 (Reuters) - The U.S. job market "is still a ways off" from the...
We said in an earlier post that the continuation upwards for the 10 yr yeild is a sign that there could be a stock market pullback, that is a pretty good theory but also at the current levels really not a possibility. We are not taking into account any market issues like oh for example 2T worth of dollars pumped into the market. Those mini-bonds are not doing...
From a technical perspective if we break through 1.69 on the 10 yr gov bond yield then we open up a whole new level of charts for a return the larger number target of 3.2. Substantial in two ways: 1. Higher yields create higher borrowing costs for companies and consumers 2. A larger majority of investors (retail) are people over 60 with retirement incomes to...
This is a pretty big bear div on the stochastic rsi on the daily TF. So this is a HTF div that continued down all say while bond yields went up. Something is coming and its a bear.
Probability: 65% We have a Downtrend in our situation the market will keep going up Stop loss & TP as you see on the chart.
US10Y Risk-Range 12:40:17 ( UTC ) Tue Apr 7, 2020