SPX overthrew the top TL before reversing and also back-tested that TL before heading lower again (highlighted on the chart). Right now, SPX is testing the lower TL and it is critical to watch the reaction here. Normally, after an overthrow and back-test one would be tempted to go all out bearish, but this market has proved with the current rally off the lows...
The S&P 500 is starting to look pretty dismal on the longterm daily chart, despite the recent relief rally. Following the curves, price is on track to go into panicked free fall sometime in June or July. But as is the chaotic nature of the seneca cliff, It could fall a lot sooner than that. The exquisite head & shoulders top that forms the multi year crest of this...
It looks like the market chose the most confusing structure to confuse everyone looking for a turn and convince them that it will never come. Right now it looks like a possible ending diagonal, so there might be a bit more to go (although the 5 can undershoot or overshoot), but basically the 5 can end any time from now up until the upper pink TL. The green line...
Well, the SPX headed lower and broke the 1 but also the (presumed) wave 2 level. Meaning that the red count was invalidated and we are working only with the pink one. The current set-up is getting unclear again though since the market had a 3 wave decline and then bounced strongly. For the downside to be clear we would have needed an impulsive decline... So,...
Zooming in to the hourly chart, the (presumed) C wave looks to be in the final stages. The previously pointed impulsive decline was entirely retraced so it is very likely that it was part of (yet another) flat correction, which was likely a 4th wave. So now we appear to be in the last 5th wave of the mentioned C wave. The big question now is if the 5th is already...
Bigger picture, the SPX looks like a flat off the lows, because the move to new lows (from red A to red B on the chart) looks to be only 3 waves because of the overlap. Therefore this huge rally off the lows is destined to be FULLY retraced, since it is likely a C wave, part of a correction. The big question is when will that correction start, of course and for...
Looking in from the monthly, weekly, daily, multi time analysis is suggesting and showing a huge strong down trend macd divergence. Got CHF CPI news coming up - up that is good and will help out our trade. Price has broken key .7000 level. TP Set at .69200 - will watch and may manually move to .68800 if there is strong momentum
Waiting for support at 8380 if not hold next zone 7560
ENOC has been fading the last few days after being up a lot. With the overall market down 2 % yesterday and the media is talking about a possible bear market, I took that as my advantage and shorted this stock that has been up a lot. ENOC was also red on the day when I shorted which minimized my risk for a big spike. Shorted at $4.80 and held my position...
It's been a while since I updated the long term count. My intermediate bearish view was confirmed in the mean time with DAX putting in a spike above the previously indicated magenta TL from the ATH, however quickly losing momentum and failing also to keep above the 200d MA. The decline from ATH was very choppy, with waves which were difficult to count, so there...
With the Federal Reserve finally raising interest rates and risk sentiment entering the market, there is potential for a bullish break of a falling wedge.
With the markets bouncing off its' lows and come roaring back to close the week with a gain, it has left many to wonder if this is 2008 or 2011 playing out. The argument for a continued bull market is that the market did hold the previous support of October's 2014 sell off, and put in a weekly reversal hammer. Also, the market was able to hold its' long term...
I'm short in the US30. I have been watching the order flow and there is still a large amount of bears hitting it at key levels. Bearish channel. MACD looks like it wants to slump over and diverge. 1st target will be .618 fib level. 2nd .764 fib level 3rd around 15200.
Since the beginning of the bull market (2009) SPX500 had 3 bigger long runs with impulse wave 5 being the largest. Fed printing money, low inflation and improving macro data was on the side of stock investors. Some rest and profit taking can push lower the index towards the 1800's and later even lower.
If the SPX breaks these levels, the markets will roll over, it's been a nice run but the market is due for bears.
Rounding top formation is developing for S&P 500. Even if a bullish Bat is nearly complete, given the recent strong momentum to the downside I would rather prefer to wait for a retracement to a significat structure level and get involved short. If price break below the rounding top neckline we may see the beginning of bear market.
In the morning I will be watching for a green to red for another short opportunity, but careful because if it gaps down then could be a long opportunity. Keep stops tight!