In this video I am going to show you why I think that we will have a major decreas e in bonds price this year. This is due to the fact that we are currently trading in a wedge shape , or a so-called Elliot Wave Diagonal which is characterized by a 5-Waves-Pattern , of which every inner wave is shorter than the first impulsive wave. Fundamentally spoken, I do...
Morning Jumpstart Macro View and US market recap 31-01-22 US ended the week with a bang as bargain hunters went shopping to support the broader US market. Tech was again the favoured stocks which lifted the SP500 while the DOW lagged the enthusiasm. There may be some end of month window dressing on the cards also which may have provided some support. For a...
What's up trader? Let's do our Weekend homework: Stocks Cryptocurrencies Oil Bonds US Dollar Sector Rotation
US 2Y bond yields melt up are the Central Banks losing control of the narrative and inflation continues to skyrocket causing pain around the world. AU2Y yield faced the same fate not to long ago. Yields have an inverse relationship to bonds as investors no longer interested in holding government bonds the sell and this selling causes higher yields. Follow me at...
ZB was clearly Bullish based on the Daily bias. I was trying to sell today in NY and my position got stopped out. ZB had a Daily sell side liquidity and formed a Bullish market structure shift on Monday but stalled till the next day, moved in Asia but I am inactive during that time. NY open Tuesday formed a Bullish OTE, and today price hit the Relative Equal...
The action has been very heavy this week and major indexes have been pressured lower. There is a lot for bulls to think about and many will be getting nervous. Will the FED come to the rescue again??....and will the Dip Buyers provide support again. In the video I take a look at my key markets and how I am approaching the current market action. I look at US...
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In this 10-minute video we aim to explain what's happening in the bond market, and as a result its implications to the USD, to stocks, the USDJPY and gold. Today's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data due for release on Wednesday at 1230 GMT may be already priced in and prices may not display logical textbook reactions.
Nothing to see here except for an $80 drop in Gold Futures to start the week! So is the yellow metal flashing red for the markets? For now, the selling in GC1! stopped at the double bottoms from back in March/April, and as of the time of this posting GC is now down only about 1%. V-bottoms, V-bottoms, talk about head fakes, this market's got 'em!
The global credit impulse peaked in Q420 and it leads reflation trades by 9-12 months. Which means they're dead in the water now. Back to the secular Quadrant 1 of my Macro Compass - listen to the video to find out how to position your portfolio accordingly.
After this sideways dredge in the bond market, the upside vulnerability is mounting. Appetite for bonds reflected in prices rising could lead stocks to underperform or lag for a short period of time. This scenario would be seen as a correction in a prolonged decline. The below video explains what levels to watch for.
Going through several FX pairs, the importance of the USD, all the important commodities (Gold, Copper, Oil) and finally some indices like the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, Nikkei etc.
Hello everyone, in this idea we will discuss the current price action for the Tesla stock. Feel free to check out my previous Tesla Ideas to get an idea of how we apply simple techniques such as Trendlines and Chartpatterns for great results. Let me know what you think about this idea in the comments :-) Cheers, Ares
Hi traders, I hope you had a nice weekend. In this new video update, I want to look at US-German yields differential as this may suggests where the USD can be headed next. However, technically the DXY downtrend is not completely invalidated yet, so rather than shorting EURUSD, look at USDJPY instead where I see more upside after retracement. Have a nice day. GH
I've set out what I see as the major topic of conversation / concern thats in financial markets currently as we approach the key resistance level of 1.5% in US 10Y Yields.
How to easily understand the yield curve inversion. I also show you a method to plot the difference between the bond yields.
Forecast: I am expecting Bund to continue its uptrend going forward next 2 weeks. Currently, this week weekly candle close as an inside bar, suggesting consolidation period. Bund will either expand this coming week or next week. First: Expansion next week, How to get in? Trade entry: Long the Daily demand zone, with stop below Confirmation: Reclaim last week...