We indicated there would be an "FX Accident" several months ago as the YEN Carry would begin to Unwind. The GBP and CND Cross as well as the USD has been under duress for weeks. Dollar Strength, we indicted the 97s could come into to Trade - is occurring. Simply put, the accidents compound, as Yields rise the DX will gain strength. Nothing has changed and our...
A predicted 3% fall in the US Dollar during 2021, was incorrect and met with a Global default denomination of +3.5%. The 7.5% swing and miss in Sum. In the world of currency values and major financial institution predictions - Missing the Mark by the largest Margin in predictive assumptions is no small feat. This never happens and yet it did happen. Fears of...
Inflation Trades, Transitory Trades, Cleanest Dirty Blouse Trades FX is setting up for a Primal Accident. It remains the largest Intra-Day Market as Liquidity begins to abate within the DX Complex. The 6 pairs remain in FLUX, heavily so waiting on the DX to make it's larger move. With so many Macro and Geopolitical influences hip sway within Foreign...
Globally, our nation has appeared as a Fruit Basket for some time to G7/G20 Members. Afghanistan is simply a reminder. A war which has waged on since forever... Initially, we covertly funded Rebels against the Soviet incursions. I've been the Soviet War Museum in Volgograd. It's as depressing as it gets for Russians who fought their version of Nam. Stingers...
The Peak for Intermediate Margin Debt peaked in July. After 15 months of elevation... It has declined 4.48% as Fear and Uncertainty have taken ahold... this appeared in the most recent release in Consumer Confidence, which Collapsed. Although the Gross Notional is nowhere near the highs as a percentage of Total Assets Value, as we have repeatedly indicated,...
in next days dxy can go upper , we predict dxy will see red arrow then will crash to 92 even 88
Attempt another save until the Power Hour. Clockwork, but the deal is done, even VG knows they'll lose a hand to 75. They'll be back as the FED will 5X the pump after this dump. A wave 5 affair into 2022.
DXY appears to be ready for an explosive move. Implied VX is surging... which has provided cover, BTC appears to be heading back to 42K. Meme Stocks have provided the "Hedge" in recent Market corrections, for whatever ill-logic applied. Volatility in Markets provide cover for Meme's. Trading the break in FX: JPY GBP 6E A sustained move higher will place...
GBP returning to 115s as DX has a Hoarding experience. Markets simply SOLD WHOLESALE. BONGs are in search of wood paneling courtesy of Van Metre. TLT has completed those gaps. How the FED avoids an FX accident will be remarkable. The GLOBE will come to further dislike the USSA. Price it in... it's a comin.
Buy J U N K, chase green bars, chase false overthrows... Patience, Analysis, Temperament, Constitution of Trade Plan - Probability favors all. BTD chasers. We'll happily take the opposing trade and here it is: Volatility Crush Reversal VIX Curve - ON Gap Fills of VIX Cash/Spot & VX Curve we will have completed inverse ladders on the...
The Inflation statistics are heavily skewed with the potential for a large surprise in store for Chasers. DX, BONDS, FX, YIELDS appear to have the scoop. Insiders buying Puts in SIZE. Crude Oil trade for entry 57-61s after this next retracement. Economic Activity is slowing to a crawl. Spending collapsing. FED wants you to BUY STOCKS. VIX Shakeout. Trade...
Calls for an increase in the DEBT ceiling without delay. Putting out the FIRE with Gasoline IS the solution. DO I hear $30 - $32 Trillion? GOLD appears to be struggling with Yellen's plaintiff wails.
National Currencies in the European Union? Hmmm... Good Luck in the Short Run, the disarray will be compelling viewing. European officialdom is now reeling from THE outbreak of apostasy within its own ranks. Adios Angela and a subtle reminder of 2010: " It is an existential test and it must be overcome ... if the euro fails, then Europe fails,” she said 11...
3 way can heppen 10% go down 40% break trend,touch red trend ,go downer 50% go up to fibo 61% 92 then go down we advice sellimit on red arrow but with SL=0.400 , main trend will down
Should bounce back up because it formed a bullish divergence on the 1H, however that can be erased if the dollar keeps plummeting. In Crypto, Alts benefited from the dollar plummet but BTC remained relatively flat.
Inspired by the tradition of watching Christmas movies during the holiday season I saw to make this video to demonstrate the effects of inflation. Happy Holidays to all!
We've never had zero interest rates before.... there's no reason to hold the dollar. This makes it virtually impossible to short foreign ETFs, and expect all imported products to become more expensive next year. If you've got big purchases to make, now's the time.