The situation at Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) is not particularly complicated. In short, they borrowed short and invested long, mismanaged their liquidity, and caused their own demise. The specific steps were as follows: low-interest deposit-taking, overzealous investment in Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS), short-term liquidity gaps, forced selling of assets, and...
A lot of talk on who is to blame for the SVB Financial collapse – this is the first big casualty of rapid rate hikes and tighter policy, but who is to blame and what are the next steps? -SVBs management – they invested short-term deposits in longer term fixed income assets – where a large % of its $120b securities portfolio lacked any kind of interest rate hedge...
USDC is systemically important in crypto and with the failure of Silvergate and Sillicon Valley Bank, the market fears a big hit to the reserves backing the stablecoin.
Life is like a dream, doomed to gain and lose, encounter and parting are all coincidences of happy memories. And that coincidence, in the watery time, is like a summer flower, blooming in our life with its truest and most splendid posture. Sometimes, you feel tired because you think too much. The world is unpredictable, don't be too obsessed when encountering...
Financial stocks are taking a hit with the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. Is this a sign of contagion or a buying opportunity? Cryptocurrency is down across the board. Is this also a buying opportunity and if so, for how long?
Hear ye hear ye! Thy SPY chart needeth to drop down to 300. Okay, enough of that. SPY is likely headed down from here and here’s why: For starters, the weekly MACD has had a signal cross failure which is something I’ve been on the look out for since May per the linked idea below. This MACD red alert following on the heels of a head and shoulders with a...
Good morning fellow Traders! I have been tracking the YENUSD pair with great interest in recent weeks as we have been rebounding from its local low. The pair has a beautiful long-term trend on the higher timeframes, setting the direction I have been looking to trade. We are currently sitting in a sweet spot, the price has been consolidating around 130-137,...
📍 What is Drop Base Rally in Trading? The drop base rally pattern in technical analysis is a chart pattern that appears when the market falls, then enters a period of sideways price action, and finally, shows explosive upward movements. Market makers open buy orders from demand zones to have a long position in trading. This is some kind of study for technical...
Following the FOMC’s rate hike, markets continued to rally yesterday until the closing bell when tech giants Alphabet, Amazon, and Apple reported their earnings. Bleak numbers poured cold water on a rally, and in after-market trading, Nasdaq 100 index fell more than 2.5%. However, this move quickly recovered, highlighting the market's growing fragility. With VIX...
• BTC/USD falls on Silvergate • Hawkish Powell has hurt everything include cryptos • Not much support in sight below $21.4K Bitcoin was down for the third day and week at the time of writing, pressing against key support around $21400. The momentum and negative sentiment towards the sector strongly suggest a breakdown could be on the cards towards $20K...
Technical overview of indices, commodities, cryptos and currencies.
With the breakout of both Falling Wedge and Inverted Head and Shoulders patterns, the stock may reach Fibonacci 0.5 levels. However, a retest of the neckline at 7.30 is also possible. To manage risk, traders may consider placing their stop loss at the previous higher low of 7 or just below the neckline.
• BOC pauses rate hikes • Fed gets more hawkish again • US employment sector continues to show strength The USD/CAD has just hit its highest level since November 2022 after the Bank of Canada kept interest rates unchanged at 4.5% and US JOLTS Job Openings came in ahead of expectations at the same time, providing fresh ammunition for the greenback after Powell’s...
Hi everyone! There would be a lot to write about the fundamentals of the US dollar, but time is very precious so I'll just try to translate fundamental analysis into technical analysis with this hourly chart. I hope it can be useful to someone anyway... ...trade with care! 👍 If you think that my analysis is useful, please... "Like, Share and Comment" ...thank...
The chart of Gold expressed in Japanese Yen has remained in a very tight weekly closing price range of 7% for almost a year. The boundaries are clear as an ascending triangle. This is a trade I will lean into hard by buying Gold and either selling Yen futures or buying USDJPY spot in approximately equal USD values. JCB will continue to inject money into the...
In trading, a bearish pattern is a technical chart pattern that indicates a potential trend reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend. These patterns are characterized by a series of price movements that signal a bearish sentiment among traders. 📍Bear Flag 🔸 A small rectangular pattern that slopes against the preceding trend 🔸 Forms after a rapid price decline...
Losing trades happen. They are apart of the journey. There is simply no such thing as a trader or investor who wins all the time. All the famous investors or traders you know have LOST many times in their career. It is perfectly normal. Did you know the famed hedge fund manager Ray Dalio lost everything in his 30s? He went broke. He had to start over from...
Industrial stocks have outperformed in the past month. Today’s chart examines a big name in the sector: farm-equipment maker Deere. First consider the high basing pattern above $400 so far in 2023. It’s a higher low than the troughs of July and September, potentially establishing new support near the previous all-time high from last April. Next, DE was...