Podemos ver buenos indicadores en el grafico diario del dolar/peso Chileno el cual ha hecho un re-test de los 0.618 de fibonacci, podemos observar un Lower Low, en los 646 y un Higher low en los 652,5 el cual nos indica una buena posicion para tomar compras. La caida del cobre nos ayuda en esta vision del par y podemos ver a corto plazo un objetivo de 679 y a...
Deadly bearish gravestone doji on Friday, which also rejected the neckline to a potentially large and bullish inverse H&S pattern. Either way I stay cyclically bullish given my work on the weekly and monthly charts, as well as developments in EM in general. Short-term however, this one sees bearish follow-up on Friday's candle and could pull back towards $9 worst...
The Bovespa has been forming a symmetrical downward trend followed by a 1.618 extension of the longer bull trend. You can see this in the chart by the first light blue fib retracement, and then I used a green arrow to indicate where the second retracement line is compared to the green 1.618 retracement line. The second to last move down is a bit tricky as it...
The recent devaluation of the USD is serving purpose to make way for future rate hikes by the FED without causing EM volatility and issue with China's currency peg. As the USD devalues it also pushes up Oil prices which provides relief for entities with Oil based junk bond exposure (Aka US banks). I see the devaluation as a short / medium term trend as a relief...
If you've been paying attention to headlines about Brazil recently, the term "impeachment" seems to be all over the place. But what's really driving prices upwards in the country's stock market? Is it the daily swaying impeachment probability or something else? Today's instrument to be analysed is EWZ, the ETF that seeks to track the investment results of the...
EEM is about to retest the neckline of the head and shoulders that it broke down from at approximately $31 a share. If you look at the mix of countries that make up this ETF, rising oil prices generally will not cause a price increase. The only worry is if the USD rolls over, as EEM and USDollar are inversely correlated. Anyways, short here (or at 31 if you're...
Technicals We have a Gartely pattern set up here. I am looking to go long at 0.03697, which falls between the 0.786 retracement and 1.272 extension along with 1:1 ratio between the AB and CD legs. There is also a divergence on the Relative Strength Index from a heavily oversold condition, supporting a spike from around the current price. Fundamentals...
Hi, I'd like to repost a private idea I had (I did post it in related ideas in my last retracement long idea for copper -which actually worked for the 1st entry before a massive turn south-). We have a clear short opportunity as outlined by my friend Tom Killick (he does great coverage of copper and USDCLP, check in related ideas). If we're offered with a...
Another important chart for your watch lists. This and many other charts will be discussed LIVE in the London session tomorrow at www.tradinglegion.com
The kiwi had a solid move against the dollar on Friday, gaining 1.14 percent. The move came as commodities rebounded, thus pushing up their respected commodity FX. This was a response to the weaker dollar, but commodities saw their sixth week of capital inflows as traders deem a more risk-on approach in the medium-term. The move into commodities has been the...
First note the consolidation of volatility after the small rally earlier in October. The indicators suggest that that bullish run has exhausted and a retracement can be expected. Note the lack of buying pressure by the OBV. To set profit targets, we can look at the Fibonacci retracement from the most recent high back on 10/23. These also coincide nicely with...
The BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) are highly watched emerging markets because they represented roughly 22 percent of global GDP in 2014. However, the global economic slowdown and increased geopolitical tension has weighed heavy on these markets. Although, India may be the most resilient economy out of the BRICS. India has felt its share of...
Some say this week's FOMC decision will be of historical proportions and be the first time the Federal Reserve will increase the Fed funds rate in almost a decade. The U.S. dollar index is in a descending trend. Price action is floating above the minor trend created by the top on April 13. The dollar has not been able to see any significant support higher,...
As you can see by my chart, every time the price has hit the top of the linear regression, and 0.04 on the MACD, the price has reversed back down again with the CCI, DeMarker and Stoch RSI gradually falling back into their respective channels. Without consideration of any further shocks to the market, I think that political instability, the conflict in the south...
Key horizontal support at 35, with 10/03/2011's LOD at 33.42. Below there delves into October 2008-July 2009's range.