The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report this week has shown inflationary pressures, with a 0.6% month-on-month increase in CPI, in line with expectations. Additionally, the core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, also saw an uptick, rising by 0.3% month-on-month, above expectations at 0.2%. On a year-on-year basis, CPI has surged to 3.7%,...
The Canadian dollar is showing limited movement on Thursday. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3474, up 0.09%. Canada wraps up the week with the retail sales report on Friday. July's retail sales were weak, with a gain of 0.1% m/m and a decline of 0.6% y/y. August is expected to show improvement, with consensus estimates of 0.4% m/m and 0.5%...
The short term price action built a double bottom pattern. Breaking the 1947 area would led the price go up to 1990 level, which was the local top in July. If we look at the long term price action, it formed a bullish pennant. The height of the bar is 450 point. If we add up this to the breaking point (1930), it should tell us the target of this pennant, which is...
Look at how the bullish green arrows and bearish red arrows show how global liquidity correlates HEAVILY with the direction of Bitcoin. T You don't have to be a genius to see how beautiful this correlation is. And how sensitive #BTC is to excess capital in the system. As a risk on asset When ppl have easy money to gamble with , a portion of that ends up in the...
The big story of the day is of course the Fed signaling one more rate hike this year. At the conclusion of its FOMC meeting a few hours ago, The U.S. Federal Reserve held interest rates unchanged, but projected another rate increase by the end of the year. Additionally, higher for longer is probably the new reality, with projections showing rates falling only...
he Fed has kept interest rates steady as expected, but Chairman Jerome Powell's statements were much more hawkish than anticipated. In summary, 12 out of 19 Fed members are calling for one more interest rate hike this year. No interest rate cuts are expected this year. Inflation is expected to remain high over the next 12 months. Tightening and balance sheet...
The Japanese yen continues to have a quiet week. In Wednesday's North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 147.66, down 0.15%. If the Federal Reserve does not pause rate hikes at today's meeting, it would be a massive surprise. Still, that doesn't mean that investors aren't paying close attention. There is particular interest as to whether the dot plot...
USD interest rates is coming today. EURUSD keeps the downside move and yesterday we saw a pullback from the resistance. It will be good if the active positions are with low risk. We’ll be looking for new trades once the news breaks.
Yes, EUR/USD has fallen to a key support level around the May low. And that will likely deter some bears around current levels from entering short (depending on their timeframe). But given the potential for for the Fed to deliver a more hawkish message than money markets are pricing in whilst the ECB suggest they are done tightening, we're not discounting the...
CME: E-Mini S&P 500 Futures ( CME_MINI:ES1! ) Last Friday was the infamous “Triple Witching Day”, where US stock index futures, stock index options, and single-stock options contracts all expired on the same trading day. These phenomena happen only four times a year: on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. In 2023, Triple Witching occurs on...
On Friday we saw the expected correction and pullback. This week is coming the most important news for the market at the moment. US Interest rate is coming on Wednesday. After the news we expect good opportunities and longer-term trades. We're looking at the exhaustion of the downside move, as the first support is 1.0609. Current levels are not suitable for...
Purple droplets indicate where CPI peaks (pink line) and green arrows point to the corresponding oil peak. Blue dotted lines measure where oil peaks to allow a reference point to S&P chart. Light blue is FED Funds rate.
Play until before the USD cash rate report. Seeing an upsurge on EU before the cash rate report.
Gold expected to have a correct on the beginning of the week However big news is coming on Wednesday so be careful, If FED keeps the rates , I think gold will rise till 1950 and may continue to 80 Otherwise, we can see new lows till 1860 Be careful this week , be stricter with your management this week, good luck
Sp500 waiting for the DXY to head down, maybe the CPI tomorrow will be positive, marking the start of the reversal
China will print, there is no way around it, at the same time the dollar will fall, I do not know how they will pull that rabbit out of the hat but they will, China will get richer while the street americans get stiffed by tough financial conditions and high rates as it is right now, chinese money is going to push-up the SP500, SP500 at this time and place is a...
Yesterday EURUSD broke the previous low and reached 1,0631. The downside move keep going but we’ll be looking for exhaustion. There will be opportunities upon correction towards 1,0700 and pullback. The next support is 1,0609, where it is advisable to lower the risk of the sells and to look for reversal.
USD/CAD is trading quietly in Europe at 1.3651, up 0.06%. I expect to see stronger movement in the North American session, with the Bank of Canada making its rate announcement and the US releasing the ISM Services PMI which is expected to show little change. The Bank of Canada is virtually certain to hold rates at today's meeting, with just a 6% probability of a...