The iShares Silver Trust (SLV) has been beaten bad, falling over 13 percent prior to Friday’s rally. On a combination of low inflation and low growth, silver has fallen long out of favor with Wall Street (but remains a small investor’s favorite). But, there are a couple factors that could signal, at least in the short-term, SLV may see some upside. First, price...
Dollar-yen bulls may be forced to take pause after central bank decisions, from each respective currency, give traders something to chew on: The FOMC minutes yesterday were nothing short of redundant. I am beginning to think it is the same speech month-after-month, but financial outlets took whatever they could to spin it as hawkish as possible. That should...
$1,000 per ounce is near - an existential victory for Wall Street Historically, gold has been a go-to for times of financial uncertainty, whether deflationary or inflationary. Unfortunately, with the perception that central banks around the world will stimulate until growth shows up (hasn't so far) and a global slowdown won't turn into a global recession, gold...
The kiwi had a solid move against the dollar on Friday, gaining 1.14 percent. The move came as commodities rebounded, thus pushing up their respected commodity FX. This was a response to the weaker dollar, but commodities saw their sixth week of capital inflows as traders deem a more risk-on approach in the medium-term. The move into commodities has been the...
If price closes underneath the combination of support, traders will search out The U.S. dollar’s upward momentum quickly faded, following Wednesday’s FOMC minutes which suggested a December rate hike was “back on the table.” Traders were likely booking profits after the spike higher in the dollar index, which has caused dollar pair counterparts to advance into...
While I am still a dollar bull and don't yet see no fundamental signs to change that position, I can't help but notice a $80 technical zone that may provide gold support in 2016. I had already noted $1110-20 as a possible support (old resistance from 2008), but I only just realized that $1110 is the 50% retracement from the 1976 lows ($101) to 2011's highs...
Should silver price in retail demand or economic sentiment? Silver prices have rallied hard since the beginning of October, up almost 10.5 percent since the October 2 low. However, traders are now budded up against key technical resistance. Will traders’ sentiment reject silver’s upward momentum, as it has done seven times since 2013, or will demand spark higher...
In " Gold Leaps Higher as Worries Mount ," I briefly pointed out how those very same institutions that championed quantitative easing policies implemented by the Federal Reserve are now coming out to proclaim quantitative easing added no substantial benefit to the real economy . Gold was pushed lower on the assumption that central banking policy would all pan...
(Note: DOWT is no longer in a bear market after rallying the last two weeks) 2015 was suppose to be just another year of the epic bull market created by reckless central banking policies. Some Wall Street estimates for the S&P 500 were as high as 2,300. Me? I projected a contraction to 1,810 in mid-January. Whether or not the SPX will reach my target within the...
The GBP/USD pair has some important levels of support/resistance beneath them: 1.5350, 1.5175, and 1.4975. They are significant because the retracement of the fall from 7/2014 may be over, and the question is can the 6/2015 high hold and will price begin to descend to the 04/2015 lows. This downward sloping pitchfork and the story of a price it tells is...
The BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) are highly watched emerging markets because they represented roughly 22 percent of global GDP in 2014. However, the global economic slowdown and increased geopolitical tension has weighed heavy on these markets. Although, India may be the most resilient economy out of the BRICS. India has felt its share of...
Commodity currencies (AUD, NZD, CAD) underwent a short-squeeze following the Federal Reserve's decision to leave rates from zero-to-25 bps, which is theoretically more supportive for commodity speculation. However, after market participants digested the ultra-dovish FOMC, commodity currencies got monkey-hammered lower. AUDUSD was pushed higher to .7276 on Friday,...
The price for crude has not only been lower longer than many analysts foreseen, but prices have been volatile. With the Crude VIX (a measure of crude price volatility) well above historical range, four to five percent price swings are almost common place. The crude VIX (blue line) broke through multi-year highs as West Texas Intermediate crude fell through $65...
In 8 hours we will witness the perhaps most anticipated news event in Forex of 2015 so far. The FED will communicate their rate decision, accompanied by a written statement, economic projections and a press conference. The Dollar is fundamentally the strongest currency due to the expectation of a rate hike this year. This sets it apart from currencies like the...
Sterling has been on a monster tear after mixed employment data out of the United Kingdom. Averages earnings beat expectations of 2.6 percent, printing a 2.9 percent. However, the U.K. did see a rise in unemployment even as the unemployment rate fell a tenth-percent. Traders are looking to front from any potential talk out of the Bank of England (BoE) that...
Some say this week's FOMC decision will be of historical proportions and be the first time the Federal Reserve will increase the Fed funds rate in almost a decade. The U.S. dollar index is in a descending trend. Price action is floating above the minor trend created by the top on April 13. The dollar has not been able to see any significant support higher,...
Despite all the hype raised about fed printing 3.5 trillion USD during times of economic stimulus, the real amout of help to economy is much smaller - it is approximately 1 trillion USD The rest of "printed" money is held at the Fed or traded on federal funds market by the recipients of the stimulus (key US financial institutions, who received reserve balances...
Running Alpha Capital Markets observes that higher rates are not always a headwind, as the not too distant record shows that the electric utilities group can outperform and offer a margin of safety. During the last period of higher rates, from mid 2004 to mid-2006, the FOMC hiked rates 16 times, and despite these incremental actions, electric utilities actually...