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(Short list again today) SPY - We were bullish going into the week/day if you saw my list last night. Got the upside we wanted early on before retreating back to open price. This shows me that we had a neutral/weak day and can expect neutral/weak movement tomorrow. With FOMC wednesday anything can happen, but I expect one more decent 2-3$ move before Wednesday....
After a failure to break through the 30,000 resistance three times, it appears that the bulls have given up and the bears took over. When we connect the two local tops and copy that trend line to the bottom, we create a perfectly symmetrical channel. It's unclear whether we're going down all the way to the support line of the channel, but I have to agree that...
AMEX:SPY experienced a significant sell-off at the beginning of the past week, followed by a strong bounce near YTD highs. Undeniably, technicals appear bullish due to the strong bounce, particularly with TVC:VIX volatility subdued. However, given the upcoming #FOMC and NASDAQ:AAPL ER, I'm watching for volatility to resist further suppression. This pivotal...
- Both SPX and NASDAQ close right under resistance - NYSE:FRC potentially get take over by government that means it would likely get delisted meaning goes to 0 - currently neutral daily trend for SPY & QQQ need to see consolidation soon. retracement size will be key here
OANDA:EURUSD Took a long for 10 pips hard TP with DXY heading lower as the markets shake off a hard fall
TVC:DXY News releases pushes dollar to the upside with additional data for JP and his evil masterplan. Trade smart
In recent days, a variety of technology stocks have surged as a result of robust earnings reports. Microsoft's impressive cloud and AI performance have been particularly noteworthy, leading to a ~8% increase in its stock value. The company was on the verge of breaking its single-day record for market capitalization growth. In contrast, cryptocurrency markets...
OANDA:EURUSD Snagged this at 20 pips short from yesterdays end of NY entry. Never broke my 15m structure to the upside, so just held in the chop. News broke, and still held as price action stayed in the bearish choch trend. Close out at 20 pips, near 1H OB Wanted about 45pips at lower trend line of wedge pattern. But heck, greed kills, right?
M2 is getting a lot of attention, but is it really driving markets? M2 is the Federal Reserve's estimate of the total money supply including all cash hand, money deposited in checking accounts, savings accounts, and other short term savings. The rate of change for M2 over the past 3 years has been the steepest incline and decline in the M2 rate of change in...
OANDA:EURUSD While the Dollar Index crawls back up with rate hike chatter. EU follows suite to the downside.
Hi traders! I'm excited to share with you a detailed video analysis of GBPUSD on the Daily and 4H timeframe ahead of the CPI news for the USD. While on the Daily TF, we're experiencing a bearish trend, we recently reached an important OB area which could indicate a possible 4H drop or pullback that may push the price down soon. However, it's important to note...
Hey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring EURUSD around 1.09884 zone, The bear flag pattern is a continuation pattern that typically occurs after a significant downtrend, signaling a potential continuation of the bearish trend. In this case, the pattern is forming around the 1.09 zone on the EUR/USD currency pair, indicating a potential sell opportunity....
Fundamental Backdrop 1. Unemployment Claims comes out at 245k compared to a 240k forecasted. 2. This highlights a worsening labour market and a potential sign that of recession in the US. 3. This is bearish on the USD and we could see potential bearish continuations in the market. Technical Confluences 1. Near-term resistance at 102.09. 2. Price rejected...
The 2 year yield saw one of its biggest divergences from the Fed Fund rate during the banking collapse. Now that the banks have settled the 2 year yield is closing the distance on the Fed Fund rate. Recapturing the daily 200 MA is bullish for the short term yields. This move up in yields could be signaling inflation starting to uptick as the economy & labour...
Now, if the fed pivots may 2nd.. i'd expect walmart to fly sky high to new highs.. but theres a recession coming. Aint nobody going to buy walmart into new highs in the face of a recession. me thinks ****s about to hit the fan.
I forsee rates continuing to increase. Banking to continue having a hard time, the value of the dollar to get stronger, and the price of equities to decrease due to less attractive opportunity costs vs bonds. I think a lot of people are not expecting this, and instead were expecting the fed to pause and for a bull market to begin. I think that equities will be re...
The USDJPY trades along the 133 support level and could see further downside as the DXY continues to weaken. However with the continual divergence in monetary policy between the US Federal Reserve and the BoJ, a rebound to the upside is likely to always be on the cards. If the USDJPY breaks strongly below 133 (and more crucially below 132.70) the price could...