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GBP CAD long trade: Fundamental analysis In line with expectations UK employment data 'likely' keeps the BOE on a slow rate cut path. The CAD had strength yesterday, coinciding with a rise in the price of oil, giving the CAD what I believe was 'fake strength'. Particularly as calls are growing for a raster pace of BOC rate cuts. The obvious alternative here would be a USD short, but I like the fact the CAD had a 'pullback' yesterday. The risk to the trade is 'negative market sentiment', another rise in the price of oil, possibly US data or out of the blue BOC hawkish rhetoric.
Long
by johnelfedforexblog
BTCUSD Eyes 116,833 While Dollar Flexes Pre-NewsGood morning traders— Bitcoin is pressing toward 116,833.25 while the U.S. Dollar Index grinds into a fresh bullish range ahead of key U.S. data. Notably, there’s a major volume node near 11,861. We could see price hover or even dip into that pocket on the headline drop before any attempt at the higher target. Classic market-maker mind games: build liquidity, shake stops, then decide the real direction. Macro backdrop U.S. CPI tomorrow keeps rate-cut odds alive. Treasury yields firm, adding fuel to the dollar bid. Equity futures soft, hinting at defensive flows. Plan Keep stops tight and trailing, only ride trades backed by strong volume. Patience until post-news—let the data show the hand before sizing up. Stay nimble and let the market makers reveal their move. Happy trading.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CORE5DAN
World gold price today September 16, 2025New York manufacturing fell sharply in September, slipping into recession, according to the latest data from the New York Federal Reserve. The Empire State Manufacturing Index fell to -8.7, down from 11.9 in August and well below the forecast of -5.0. This is the first time the index has returned to negative territory since June. New orders and shipments fell sharply, inventories continued to decline slightly, while employment held steady but average hours worked fell. Input prices remained high, selling prices rose moderately and spending plans remained weak. Businesses expect conditions to improve in the coming period, but sentiment remains generally cautious. Immediately after the report was released, gold prices rebounded and then remained flat, trading around $3,642/ounce. Global markets are awaiting the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), which begins on Tuesday morning and ends on Wednesday afternoon, with a statement and press conference from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. The FOMC is expected to deliver a 25 basis point interest rate cut, the first since November 2024.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
$MPC - Bullish Long Entry on Strong Fundamentals & Technical SupEntered a long position in Marathon Petroleum Corp ( NYSE:MPC ) at $149.25 on May 8, 2025. Stop loss set at $114.90. Rationale: Refining margins remain robust, supporting strong cash flow generation. Consistent shareholder returns via aggressive buybacks and dividends. Attractive valuation relative to earnings potential in the energy sector. Key Risks: Oil price volatility and refining crack spread fluctuations. Broader market sentiment toward energy stocks. Stop loss placed below key support to protect capital if the trade thesis weakens.
NYSE:MPCLong
by NYSE_TechFund
near target is 3,700 – 3,720.1. Main Trend The chart is currently in a short-term uptrend, shown by the rising channel (red parallel trendlines). Price has bounced multiple times from the lower trendline → confirming that buyers remain in control. 2. Support & Resistance Zones Nearest Resistance: 3,675 – 3,685 (blue zone). This level has been tested multiple times and price is now trading around it. Key Support: around 3,640 (lower trendline). Further below, the strong support is at 3,520 – 3,540 (red box). 3. Current Signals Price has just broken out above the 3,675 – 3,685 resistance zone, and is now pulling back for a retest. If price holds above 3,675 → the bullish trend will be reinforced. The chart also has an upward arrow drawn → indicating expectation of a move towards 3,700. 4. Scenarios Ahead Bullish Scenario (priority): If price holds above 3,675 – 3,685 and bounces up, the next target is 3,700 – 3,720. A break above 3,720 could extend the rally towards 3,750 – 3,770. Bearish/Correction Scenario: If price fails to hold 3,675 and breaks lower → it may retest the rising trendline around 3,640. If the trendline also breaks, there is risk of a drop towards the strong support at 3,520 – 3,540. 5. Conclusion The overall trend is still bullish. The key level to watch: 3,675 – 3,685 (retest zone). Trading Strategy: Prefer long positions if price holds above 3,675, with stop-loss below the trendline. Target 3,700 – 3,720. Conversely, if 3,675 and the trendline fail, wait for lower supports.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AstronautPioneer
Mining in August: Efficiency, Valuation Gaps, DiversificationFrom Block Rewards to Capital Strategies The Bitcoin mining industry has entered a transformative stage in 2025, driven by both market dynamics and major corporate developments. In the U.S., American Bitcoin (ABTC)—backed by the Trump family and Hut 8—debuted on Nasdaq through a reverse merger with Gryphon Digital Mining, closing its first day at a valuation of $7.3 billion. Other listed miners such as IREN and Cipher have also gained momentum as they expand into HPC services. These shifts reflect a broader transformation: mining is evolving beyond block rewards into diversified infrastructure and capital strategies. From a network perspective, fundamentals remain exceptionally strong. According to Glassnode, Bitcoin’s 7-day average hashrate surpassed 1 ZH/s (1,000 EH/s) in early September for the first time in history, marking a symbolic transition into the “zetahash era.” Simultaneously, CoinWarz reported that network difficulty hit a record 129.7 T in late August, a 6.4% increase over the prior 90 days. In terms of market concentration, CloverPool data indicates that Foundry USA, AntPool, and ViaBTC collectively control nearly 60% of total network hashrate, while publicly listed mining companies already contribute close to 40% of the network’s computing power. This pattern illustrates a steadily consolidating industry, where scale and efficiency are increasingly rewarded, while smaller operators face heightened challenges in competing on cost and capital access. For miners, the recent increase in network difficulty has not been fully matched by revenue growth. Hashrate Index data shows that hashprice currently stands at $55–60 per PH/s per day, even with Bitcoin trading above $110,000. This reflects the subdued state of the fee market. According to Galaxy Digital, transaction fees contributed less than 0.8% of block rewards in August 2025, one of the lowest levels in recent years. As a result, miner revenue is now primarily determined by block subsidies, highlighting the sector’s growing dependence on efficiency and scale in sustaining operations. Operation indicators and Valuations Cleanspark Deployed hashrate: 50 EH/s Current capacity: 1,030 MW Bitcoin holdings: 12,807 BTC Efficiency: 16.07 J/TH EV per EH/s: ~49.2 Riot Platforms Deployed hashrate: 36.4 EH/s Current capacity: N/A Bitcoin holdings: 19,309 BTC Efficiency: 21.0 J/TH EV per EH/s: ~148.9 BitFuFu Deployed hashrate: 35.6 EH/s Current capacity: 628 MW Bitcoin holdings: 1,899 BTC Efficiency: 17.5 J/TH EV per EH/s: ~16.1 Cango Deployed hashrate: 50 EH/s Current capacity: N/A Bitcoin holdings: 5,193 BTC Efficiency: N/A EV per EH/s: ~5.1 Hut 8 Deployed hashrate: 18.5 EH/s Current capacity: 762 MW Bitcoin holdings: 10,667 BTC Efficiency: N/A EV per EH/s: ~154.1 Efficiency has become a defining metric in today’s mining landscape, and the contrast between company performance and market valuation is particularly clear in BitFuFu’s case. With an operating efficiency of 17.5 J/TH, BitFuFu is positioned close to the top tier of the industry—narrowly behind CleanSpark’s 16.07 J/TH and ahead of Riot’s 21 J/TH. Despite this, its valuation sits at only $16.1M EV per EH/s, a steep discount compared with Riot at $148.9M and Hut 8 at $154.1M. Such a gap indicates that markets are rewarding brand visibility and balance-sheet holdings more heavily than operational cost advantages, leaving room for companies with disciplined efficiency to be re-rated over time. Both Riot and BitFuFu have explicitly highlighted strategies aimed at further boosting efficiency in their core mining operations. These include ongoing maintenance programs to maximize fleet stability, selective upgrades of older machines to next-generation models, and targeted acquisitions of mining sites in regions with structurally lower energy prices. Taken together, these initiatives reinforce the critical role of efficiency as the real moat in a high-difficulty, low-fee environment, while also pointing to the potential for re-rating as markets recognize the long-term value embedded in such operational discipline. Peer Comparison: Hashrate, Efficiency, and the Valuation Divide Overall, the Bitcoin mining landscape in August 2025 is defined by sharp contrasts. At the macro level, hashrate has surpassed 1 ZH/s and difficulty reached record highs, while the fee market has contracted sharply. This directly pressures self-mining operators reliant on block rewards and fees, but only indirectly affects cloud-mining platforms whose revenues are primarily service-fee based. As a result, cloud-mining models, with their relative insulation from fee volatility and more stable cash flows, may demonstrate greater long-term resilience. At the micro level, valuation gaps among listed miners show that the market is placing increasing emphasis on efficiency, capital strategy, and balance-sheet positioning rather than scale alone. This explains why companies with similar hashrates trade at vastly different multiples. Put differently, such dispersion presents both risks—where certain miners may be overvalued—and opportunities—where efficient yet undervalued players may see re-rating as their operational discipline gains recognition. From an investment perspective, miners that combine efficiency leadership with strong capital market narratives and financial discipline appear best positioned. Looking ahead, diversification into artificial intelligence (AI) and high-performance computing (HPC) offers a compelling new growth avenue. Companies such as Hive and BitFuFu have already begun investing in these areas, both to hedge against mining revenue volatility and to reposition mining infrastructure as multi-purpose computing platforms. This transition not only strengthens long-term resilience but could also serve as a key catalyst for the sector’s next wave of valuation reappraisal. In conclusion, only miners that achieve advantages across efficiency, capital strategy, and diversification are likely to build sustainable long-term competitiveness in the evolving industry landscape.
NASDAQ:FUFU
by Miningresearch
LTCUSDT 1D chart review🔎 key levels • Resistance resistance: • 118.92 USDT (local resistance, recently tested several times). • 126.05 USDT (stronger resistance - if it pierces, the trend is continued). • Support (Support): • 113.31 USDT (current level, currently defended). • 109.28 USDT (SMA as dynamic support). • 102.38 USDT (key support - if it falls, there may be a stronger decrease). ⸻ 📉 Trend • You can see the yellow inheritance trend line on the chart - the course respected it several times. • Currently, the price is trying to stay above SMA200 (green line), which is a signal of a potential reflection. ⸻ 📊 indicators • MacD: • The histogram has gone into a positive zone, which suggests growth moment, but the signal lines are close to each other → possible consolidation. • RSI: • Value around 50 → neutral zone, no clear purchase or sale. • If he pierces 60, he may enter the upward trend. ⸻ 📌 Scenarios 1. Bullish • If it stays above 113.31 and breaks 118.92, the goal will be 126 USDT. • Confirmation: RSI> 60 and MacD further opening up. 2. Bearish • If the course drops below 113.31, subsequent support is 109.28 and 102.38. • Confirmation: Macd Cross down + RSI <45.
by cryptodailyuk
Ethereum: The Long Game, The Smart AccumulationEthereum Long-Term Bull Thesis with Accumulation Perspective Ethereum remains at the core of the smart contract revolution, and the long-term structure continues to validate the bullish thesis. With scaling solutions gaining traction, institutional participation increasing, and ETH’s utility expanding across DeFi, gaming, tokenization, and beyond, the macro case for higher valuations over the coming years is undeniable. From a price-structure perspective, ETH has broken above critical resistance and is sustaining momentum near multi-year highs, underscoring the strength of the current cycle. I remain firmly bullish on Ethereum’s long-term trajectory, viewing it not just as an asset, but as the backbone of the evolving decentralized economy. That said, corrections are part of any healthy uptrend. Should the market provide a pullback, I’m eyeing the $3,200–$3,500 zone as a major accumulation area. This range is reinforced by strong confluence of historical support, key trendline intersections, and prior consolidation bases visible on both the daily and 4H charts. In my view, this zone represents where value buyers will reload in anticipation of Ethereum’s next leg higher. In essence, my outlook does not change with short-term fluctuations: I am a long-term believer in ETH’s growth story. A correction into the $3,200–$3,500 accumulation zone would not be weakness — it would be opportunity. Summary: Long-term bullish, unwavering conviction. Any dip toward the $3,200–$3,500 range is a gift for accumulation in an asset that I believe will continue to redefine digital finance.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by GoldenTraderz_2025
Forex fundamental analysis: Risk on bias remains in tact. Nothing has altered my view that the 'rate cut rally narrative' can continue, at least until Wednesday's FED decision. The USD and JPY have continued to be weak today and continue to have a preference for long: AUD ,NZD, GBP or EUR. Vs whichever out if the USD, JPY (or CHF) is the weakest. I prefer to place a stop loss behind 1hr swing support. Upcoming GBP and US data would be a risk to any trade but I currently like GBP JPY long. At least up to recent resistance (see chart above).
Long
by johnelfedforexblog
The first step towards 5k - ETH weekly update Sep 15 - 21thDear investors and traders, Ethereum is currently in the second wave of the minute cycle within the larger third wave unfolding in the minor cycle.Zooming into the fractal structure of the mentioned second wave, we can easily recognize the double three pattern as shown on the chart. My primary expactation therefore is a combination of a flat structure as a minuette wave w and a following zig zag a minuette wave y. I have chosen this scenario, because it's typical for altcoins to retrace their wave two a bit deeper then assets do normally. Also, the flat structure hasn't corrected this second wave too far, making a larger pullback likely. The zig zag probably made his subminuette wave a and should retrace now to levels of around 4.6k. The alternative scenario would be, that this second wave is already completed and with that we would be looking forward to 5k. For the alternative scenario to be completed, we need ETH to climb higher than the previous high of the minuette wave x. Moving on to the liquidity analysis, we can see why this is my primary scenario: A massive amount of liquidity sitting just above the with the red line shown low of the minor wave two. I think we are going to drop again in the direction of this liquidity, but I hope it is going to melt down as people fear to get liquidated. The drawn in price target surely isn't where the liquidity sits, but it's where most fibonacci levels come together. The Orderbook is relatively empty in nearer space, but there is a large amount of short orders sitting at 5k. Derivative data shows us turbulent funding rates because of people trying to catch this drop with large leverage market orders and getting liquidated, making the funding rate apparently to come back, maybe because they fear to loose more money now. Open interest stagnates, which is on the one hand positive because there are no more short positions adding up but this also means on the other hand that there are no long positions coming in. One thing I also noted in relation to people trying to catch the drop and burning themselves is that the liquidations are declining, which is indicating the leverage is decreasing. Coming to exchange flows, the exchanges currently record an inflow of ethereum meaning that people are probably moving their coins from wallets to the exchange to sell them, which is a bearish signal. Also notable is that the exchange reserve is increasing, also indicating that people sell their ethereum. The seasonality of ethereum shows us that the current Q3 was doing exceptionally well for ethereum and looking forward Q4 is also going to be green with a probability of 60%. September in the past was rather bearish then bullish, flipping the probabilities to a 40% probability to get a positive result. Nonetheless, the average return of September is 7%, which sparks hope. Looking to Blackrock and other whales and entities, we can clearly see that Blackrock sold a part of it's ethereum (10k ETH) just slightly before the top and not buying again till now indicating the bottom is not in yet. The ETFs is still getting inflows, showing institutions accumulating ethereum. All in all I am long and I think that the anticipated lows are optimal prices to establish swing long positions. Crucial for a impulsive move and the transition from a minute wave two to a minute wave 3 is the decline of liquidity at the low of the minor wave two.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by Phillipklh
Tech giants ignite the market: NVIDIA — $4.3T, Oracle +40%...As of September 2025, #NVIDIA’s market capitalization is estimated at about $4.313 trillion, making #NVIDIA the most valuable publicly traded company in the world by market cap. Across big tech, the backdrop has turned decisively positive: #Oracle shares have surged 40% on accelerating cloud revenue and AI contracts; #Apple unveiled a new device lineup led by iPhone 17; and #Google continues to climb on progress in AI tools, ad tech, and cloud services. Together, these catalysts are lifting demand for AI infrastructure and ecosystem services, reinforcing network effects between hardware vendors, platforms, and developers. Key growth drivers for IT giants in 2025: #Oracle — faster cloud revenue, major AI contracts, and expanded data-center infrastructure sparked a sharp 40% jump in the stock. #Apple — the launch of iPhone 17 and an updated device lineup strengthens ecosystem cash flows, driving upgrade cycles and service monetization and supporting a positive re-rating of the shares. #Google — gains in advertising and cloud alongside the rollout of generative AI, improvements in search and commerce products, and cost optimization for inference. #NVIDIA — new chips and architectures (including Blackwell) cement leadership in AI compute, while data-center expansion and the MLOps stack support a robust order backlog. Institutional demand — inflows into AI-themed funds and ETFs, plus strategic partnerships by corporations and governments, are sustaining premium sector valuations and fueling a broadening cycle of spend on AI infrastructure, devices, and platform services. According to FreshForex, a prolonged AI demand cycle and scaling potential create conditions for further share-price appreciation. The parallel surge in #Oracle , product updates from #Apple , and #Google’s rally keep the spotlight on the sector and bolster expectations for AI-driven earnings — from chips to devices and cloud — while #NVIDIA’s lead in next-gen architectures secures its role as a key beneficiary of the trend.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
WDC’s Not So Flash MemoryWestern Digital Corp. (WDC) has extended into a key resistance zone following a parabolic advance of more than 100% in recent months. Price action is showing early signs of exhaustion, with momentum flattening near the $104.60 level, which historically served as heavy supply. This setup aligns with a classic mean-reversion short: shorting into an overextended rally at a confluence of resistance, with a clearly defined support zone below as the target. Trade Idea: Entry Rationale (Red Arrow) Price has tagged $104.60, a resistance cluster reinforced by prior rejection levels. Exit Strategy (Green Arrow at $88.99) $88.99 represents a historically confirmed support level.
NASDAQ:WDCShort
by GoldenTraderz_2025
Orex Minerals (TSXV: REX) – Coneto ProjectPhase VI drilling at the Loma Verde vein confirmed continuity over 1.2 km strike with significant intercepts: 15 m @ 3.02 g/t AuEq (incl. 4.6 m @ 6.88 g/t AuEq) 4.5 m @ 4.05 g/t AuEq (incl. 1 m @ 13.35 g/t AuEq) The JV with Fresnillo (61%) provides low-risk exposure to gold-silver growth in a prolific Mexican belt. Orex (38.8%) participates in potential resource expansion without major financing risk. Takeaway: Coneto is a strategic junior option for exposure to high-quality Au-Ag resources with upside in a silver bull market.
TSXV:REXLong
by dimzh