My Last trading idea was invalided. made a mistake and did not check the state of DXY We have hit an 4HR OB SL is ONLY 7 PIPS WAYS. Lets see
The graph above shows the correlation between the Interest rate, Inflation and the SPX500. (Max timeframe by tradingview) Once the Inflation goes up, the FED tries to up the interest rate. Once it reaches a plateau and goes sideways, the market goes down ("soft landing", "growth recession","please insert"). So far we didn't reach the peak of rate hikes by the FED,...
Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard Nasr, as known as theSignalyst. 95 out of 500 days done. I truly appreciate your continuous support everyone! Let me know if you like the series, and if you would like me to change or add anything. Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good Luck!. All...
Demand for the dollar is usually high as it is the world's reserve currency. Other factors that influence whether or not the dollar rises in value in comparison to another currency include inflation rates, trade deficits, and political stability. The dollar has been gaining strength against the currencies of other major economies. The dollar is strong because the...
Clear divergence between USD (DXY) and Gold$ for most of 2022. Perhaps a weaker Dollar will lead to a stronger Gold price. We are certainly in the window for seasonal gold purchases and US interest rates have been raised agressively perhaps a pause in rate rises is now due
Western interest rates starting going back up in the end. Looks like the whole "new paradigm" is over. Money is not free anymore. To sum up: - Boomers got 110% of the wealth (other generations are in debt), they are aging and getting more conservative, covid got them even more scared and conservative (risk averse); - Generally investor outlook on the economy...
DXY: Nearly At Trendline Resistance This massive DXY pump might finally be coming to a short term end before an incoming correction - this sits at approx. 116.83. A shorter term rejection back to $107 is expected here where we could see a likely bounce with further downside to the lower side of the ascending macro channel at 103 region. This will be make or...
Everyone is a good trader in a bull market, but in a bear market, these good traders are reduced to hopium-fueled twitter analysts watching core CPI and interest rates. The former and latter data points serve nothing more as useless, out-of-context generalities for the single-celled Wall Street Bet retail enjoyer. But recent activity across the pond has sparked...
Can there be new correlations between Interst Rates, Markets and War?
Bitcoin - Forecast + Targets. Using Elliott Wave and Smart Money Concepts
Welcome back to another video, today's video is about analysing BITCOIN (BTC) using the monthly, weekly and daily timeframe to understand and see price movements for possible next direction (either downwards or upwards trend). P.S NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR... JUST EDUCATIONAL AND LEARNING PURPOSE ONLY...
So... the Spanish market has actually OUTPERFORMED all the other european indiced in the past year and actually YTD: www.investing.com --> "Performance" that makes no sense... a country/economy which were on the edge of bankrupcy in the last financial crisis. Why has this economy outperformed all the other eonomies? it makes no sense . IMO a short position...
Maybe a potential short trade for the EUR/GBP? - BoE is bound to come with a 75 Basis point increase on the interest rate Thursday . - England are experiencing way tougher inflation than the European regions. - RSI are already/close to signal a overbought signal, therefore a back-trace to more normal levels would be ideal - ADX also showing a strong upward...
This shows expected interest payments as a moving average divergence around current interest payments which acts as a moving average that is delayed by one to two years. Anyways, the current "future" interest payments as calculated by the US05Y yield have never had a larger divergence from current payments. It is expected that in one to two years, US interest...
DXY D1 With the above being said... 'key global topics' and other comments, we have to understand the market correlation and timeframes... We can take yesterdays D1 close with a pinch of salt, due to inconsistent volume, but lets see where we close after today (hoping support holds). US based FX and commodities look like they want to be correcting somewhat....
With inflation's end nowhere near in sight, the Federal Reserve this week announced more "tough times" ahead - indicating that they're likely to do more interest hikes for the rest of 2022. Inflation rates in the US right now sits around %8-10 - but since CPI reports exclude food and energy prices by design, the "real" inflation rate is likely a lot higher. Most...
The price has officially broken out the consolidation range to the bears. The target point for a reversal is still at at $0.28 however there is a few levels of support before the price reaches this point, these support levels were sourced from the fib retracement of the current wedge formation. The price has bounced off the golden ratio, (62.8% fib) so the price...