After a bad reception of yesterday's FOMC meeting, both the crypto and the stock markets have been selling off. Consequently, BTC has lost the bullish diagonal support that has been helping the bulls, leaving the way open for the bears to step in.
In previous analyses I've talked about my bearish longer-term outlook, which naturally still applies. This analysis...
bullish idea, there's lots of space to the upside and plenty of orders to take off the initial news burst. as long as we move up follow the plan. if we move down, and only if you are not already in a position, i'd take smaller longs and add later only if it comes back to the initial idea.
if price falls to the depths of hell, well, fine. just short the first pull...
Before significant interest rate hikes, I have claimed that Bitcoin is decoupling from the rest economy (which probably happened).
However, the effect of rising interest rates still had some power over the Bitcoin in the tank.
It seems that this power of raising interest rates is diminishing for Bitcoin relative to the rest of the economy which will probably...
The FOMC meeting has just concluded, and the FED has raised the interest rates with 25 basis points. Since the initial reaction is bullish, I'd like to explore the idea that we're going to see a strong switch in trend from this point onwards.
The dotted diagonal resistance is currently the main area that BTC has to break through. Be patience for the break out...
As of a couple of minutes ago the FED has announced that they will pauze the interest rates and not hike any further. Since rising interest rates seems bearish for markets, a pauze is often a much more bearish signal.
As seen on the lower chart, once the FED pauzes the hiking cycle ('flat mountain top'), it has often signaled a stock market crash in the not so...
The AUDUSD approaches a key resistance at the 0.68 round number price level following a consistent climb since the start of June.
If the DXY continues to weaken, down to the key support level of 103, the AUDUSD could break above the immediate resistance level of 0.68 and rise toward the next resistance level at 0.6920.
However, the 0.68 resistance level is very...
Fundamental Backdrop
Overnight Rate on Wednesday is expected to maintain at 4.50%
Technical Confluences
Resistance level at 1.36374
Support level at 1.33166
Idea
If the Overnight Rate maintains at 4.50% as expected, we could see the price drop towards the support level at 1.33166.
However, if the Overnight Rate increases, we could see the price...
In this analysis I want to talk about the possibility of Bitcoin going to 100k this year. This is a speculative analysis, but still based on real-world macro. Take it with a grain of salt.
Bitcoin going to 100k in the middle of a banking and inflation crisis, with a FED that's increasing the interest rates? I would've said it's impossible. Not only that, but...
There's obviously lots of discussion about interest rates and where they are headed. Today, I'm going to look at long-term interest rates based on the well-known ETF: $TLT . Long-term interest rates are useful as a guide for most people who get a home-loan or longer-dated loans and is usually less prone to manipulation (by Central Banks) than short-term...
ECONOMICS:AUMR
A visualization of how house prices react against interest rates rises other than the obvious divergence where rates get cheap and people will spend more.
I haven't made any predictions, there are a lot of moving parts in the system at the moment.
CPI being a big one on everyone lips, affordability, availability, sustainability, buzz words right...
Recently I've been talking a lot about Bitcoin and my expectation it's following some kind of Elliot Wave pattern since January. In my most recent analysis I said that I expected the 4th wave to bottom between $26,5k - $25k. BTC bottomed around $26,6k, close enough!
In my eyes, the bottom is in and we're likely going to continue our way up. Remember that the...
BTC has been trading inside a bullish triangle pattern over the last couple of days. With the FOMC meeting around the corner, I'm expecting some volatile price action today and tomorrow.
In my view, it's likely that we're going to hit $28,600 today. Whether it's a fake pump before the FOMC meeting (and a dump after), or we get a bullish reaction and move up...
Overnight, the DXY continued to weaken and traded down to the 103-round number support level. However, the price bounced from the level to consolidate at the current level of 103.18.
It is likely that the DXY could continue to consolidate along this level in the lead up to the FOMC interest rate decision due on Thursday morning.
The expectation is for the FOMC...
Recently the market's expectation for the Fed Funds Rate peaking around 5% and then coming down at the end of Q4 2023 changed, with the market now seeing rates going to 5.5%. Many investors/analysts are discussing bond yields heading to 6% and staying higher for longer. However, is that going to happen? What is sentiment telling us right now? What is data...
Many believe the Fed kept the Federal Funds Rate (FFR, in orange) too low for too long. But the recent path of hiking has caused the FFR to now get above the 2 year UST yield (in blue) -- a situation that rarely happens, and rarely is a "good" sign for markets. Stay alert.
comparisons are telling us simply when more people are able to borrow money real estate does better. interest rate data from whale crew tells us as long as we climb this indication the risk gets worse for borrowers. as long as those go in the specified direction im looking at higher prices in this fund. all is normal as in everyone is doing fine, and still doesnt...
